The Mariners (47-47, 26-23 home) host the Twins ((49-47, 23-25 away) in game three of this American League series. Getting the start for the Mariners is Luis Castillo while the Twins are turning to Kenta Maeda. Read on to get my best bet for this Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins matchup.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Mariners -164

This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Wednesday, July 19th

WHY BET THE SEATTLE MARINERS:

  • The Mariners have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • Over their previous five games as the underdog, the Twins are just 2-3 straight-up.
  • Opponents are hitting just .225 against Luis Castillo in his last five starts.

MINNESOTA TWINS LOOKING TO EXTEND AL CENTRAL LEAD

Coming in with an overall record of 49-47, the Twins are 1st in the AL Central. As of late, Minnesota has been good on the road, winning two straight road series. The team’s overall series record is 14-13-3. For the season, the Twins have a runline record of 48-48, which includes going 27-21 away from home. Their over/under mark is 43-47 this year.

Kenta Maeda has had a difficult start to the 2023 season, as his record of 2-5 in eight appearances attests. His ERA is an unsightly 5.50, but he has been able to strike out 10.25 batters per nine innings. His FIP of 3.45 and OBP of .311 are more promising indicators for

Kenta Maeda had a brief appearance on the mound, tossing three frames while allowing three runs on four hits. The Twins ultimately won 5-4 against the Athletics, with Maeda receiving no decision.

The Twins have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 17 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 4th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 6th in home runs and 13th in slugging percentage. Overall, Minnesota is averaging 4.3 runs per game (16th).

The Twins’ offensive leader Carlos Correa has been hitting .234 this season, with a slugging percentage of .416 and an on-base percentage of .309.

WILL THE SEATTLE MARINERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Leading up to today’s game, the Mariners are 3rd in the AL West on a record of 47-47. Overall, they have played in 30 different series, going 13-16-1. When playing above .500 teams, the Mariners are 47-47, and currently hold win percentages of 53.1% at home and 46.7% on the road.

The Seattle Mariners will look to starter Luis Castillo to take the mound, boasting an overall record of 6-7. Through 19 appearances this season, he has posted an ERA of 2.96 and a K/9 of 9.77. Additionally, his FIP stands at 3.91 and his OBP is .258.

The Mariners were on the wrong end of a 5-4 scoreline in Castillo’s last outing, with the righty going five frames and surrendering three earned runs off four hits.

As a team, Seattle has scuffled at the plate of late, with a combined batting average of just .208 over their last ten games. Compared to other teams, this is just 27th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .388% while going deep a total of 106 times (14th). Overall, the Mariners are 14th in the MLB at 4.5 runs per contest.

The Seattle Mariners have seen Eugenio Suárez take the lead in home runs over their last ten games, with four long balls to his name. His season-long total now stands at 13, while his overall batting average is .226.