Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Pick 05/16/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-16

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will head west to T-Mobile Park to square off against the Seattle Mariners. Fox Sports North will be showing this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (+100) is the home-team underdog against Minnesota (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Twins -1.5 (+135) and Mariners +1.5 (-155).

The Mariners are 22-23 straight up (SU) and 25-20 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, have gone 27-15 SU this year and are 22-19 against the spread. They’ve gained 10.9 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 2.0 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Mariners games have a 31-11-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 20-20-1.

The right-handed Michael Pineda will get the nod for the visiting Twins. Pineda is 2-3 with a 5.85 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mariners are sending righty Erik Swanson (1-4, 6.35 ERA) to the mound. Swanson has 21 strikeouts and five walks to his name as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Swanson did not pitch in the majors last season.

Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a 5.39 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Seattle offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .195/.263/.402 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ batters have been led by left fielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon. Santana is slashing .280/.349/.491 with eight home runs, 37 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Gordon’s line is .304/.336/.406 with three homers, 19 RBIs, 15 runs and 11 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Twins offense has slashed .262/.334/.495 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is hitting .331/.398/.624 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .247/.284/.532 with 13 homers, 34 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Twins have gained 13.9 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 4.2 units and are 20-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Seattle has 17 XBH over its last five.

The Twins have a total OPS of .830 this season and an OPS of .835 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .788 overall and .789 against righties.

Minnesota fielders have committed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Seattle over its last 10.

The Twins have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 18 over their last 10.

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