Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Free Pick 10/05/19

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The New York Yankees are set to face the Minnesota Twins in Game 2 of the MLB Divisional Playoffs. The Bronx Bombers currently own a 1-0 series lead, and the matchup is going to be nationally televised on Fox Sports One. The game gets going at 5:07 p.m. ET.

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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds

Factoring in the regular season, the Yankees are 104-59 straight up (SU) and 93-69 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 23.1 units ATS. The Twins are 101-62 SU and have gone 90-72 ATS. They’ve accumulated 22.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.2 units ATS.

Yankees games have an 85-72-5 over/under record in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 81-76-5.

Randy Dobnak is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. Dobnak is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Yankees are turning to Masahiro Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA). Tanaka has 149 strikeouts and 40 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Tanaka only made one start against the Twins in 2018 (1-0, 1.35 ERA and five strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.18 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a K-per-9 of 9.74.

The Twins offense has slashed .270/.340/.494 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is hitting .297/.359/.491 with 23 home runs, 81 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Rosario has a .273 average with 32 homers, 109 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.52, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The New York hitters have produced 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .230/.326/.466 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the way for the Yankees’ batters this year. LeMahieu is slashing .329/.376/.526 with 27 home runs, 106 RBIs and 111 runs scored, while Torres has put up a line of .279/.338/.536 with 38 homers, 92 RBIs and 97 runs.

The Yankees just took Game 1 of the series by a score of 10 runs to four.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Minnesota has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 19 XBH over its last five.

New York has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.

The Twins have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

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