Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Betting Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will be taking on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL showdown and the action gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Minnesota (-120) as the favorite over Seattle (+110). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. There’s a runline of Twins -1.5 (+125) and Mariners +1.5 (-145) for this matchup.

The Twins have gone 28-15 SU this year and are 22-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.9 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 1.0 unit ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 22-24 SU and 25-20 ATS. The team has gained 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 0.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 31-11-3 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 21-20-1.

Martin Perez will get the start for the visiting Twins. The southpaw Perez (5-1, 3.11 ERA) has recorded 46 strikeouts in 46.1 innings so far. This will be his first start against Seattle this year. He made four starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 3.86 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Mariners will send lefty Marco Gonzales (5-2, 3.18 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 42 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Gonzales did not register a start against the Twins in 2018.

Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a 5.30 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Seattle’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .195/.263/.457 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Domingo Santana and Mitch Haniger have paced the Mariners’ hitters so far. Santana is slashing .275/.347/.483 with eight home runs, 37 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Haniger’s line is .237/.325/.508 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 9.36.

Twins hitters have slashed .265/.336/.501 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario, who’ve collectively launched 21 home runs. Polanco is slashing .333/.398/.617 with eight home runs, 20 RBIs and 25 runs scored. Rosario is slashing .258/.293/.534 with 13 homers, 34 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 3.0 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in four of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 2.8 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER


Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Minnesota’s last seven outings.

The Twins have a total OPS of .837 this season, including an OPS of .846 against left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS stands at .789 overall and .765 against southpaws.

The Minnesota defense has coughed up four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Seattle over its last 10.

The Twins have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 19 over their last 10.

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