Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick 08/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-13

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will square off against the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

The Twins have gone 71-47 SU this year and are 63-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.6 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 62-57 SU and 51-68 ATS. They’ve lost 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 53-62-4 in 2019. Minnesota has been a decent over bet with a total record of 60-53-5.

Southpaw Martin Perez is the projected starter for the visiting Twins. Perez is 8-5 with a 4.80 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers are going with righty Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.70 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Anderson only made one start against the Twins in 2018 (0-0, 1.42 ERA and five strikeouts across six and 1-third innings).

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.63 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.332/.380 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is hitting .335/.427/.703 with 39 home runs, 84 RBIs, 82 runs and 23 steals, and Moustakas is batting .259 with 27 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Twins hitters have slashed .270/.338/.497 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is hitting .295/.356/.491 with 17 home runs, 56 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Rosario (.284/.307/.519) has produced 25 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

The Twins have gained 16.1 units and are 48-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.0 units and are 15-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven outings.

The Twins have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 10 over their last 10.

The Twins have a total OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .823 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .769 overall and .780 against righties.

Milwaukee has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.

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