The Minnesota Twins will square off against their divisional nemesis Detroit Tigers. The game gets underway 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be airing the matchup.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
The Twins have gone 97-60 SU this year and are 86-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 18.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 46-110 SU and 64-91 ATS. The team has lost 39.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.9 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Tigers games have a 69-74-12 over/under record in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-71-5.
Randy Dobnak is projected to start for the visiting Twins. Dobnak is 1-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are preparing to start lefty Daniel Norris (3-13, 4.58 ERA), who has 120 strikeouts and 38 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Norris is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Twins hitters have slashed .270/.340/.493 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario, who’ve collectively launched 53 home runs. Polanco is slashing .296/.359/.486 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 106 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .278 with 31 homers, 106 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.54 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.03.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .265/.290/.388 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .285/.350/.391 with 10 home runs, 56 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and the line for Castellanos stands at .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.
The Twins have lost 0.9 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve hit the under against y starters.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Minnesota has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. Detroit has 12 XBH over its last five.
The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.
Detroit has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit nine over their last 10.