Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds Pick 03/23/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-03-23

The Minnesota Timberwolves (32-40), who are currently on a five-game losing streak, will attempt to get back in the win column when they travel to FedExForum to square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (29-43). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds Preview

In the Timberwolves’ last game, they lost to the Charlotte Hornets, 113-106. They were unable to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Karl-Anthony Towns had a good performance for Minnesota, leading the team in scoring with 21 points on 7-for-17 shooting. Charlotte had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 22.0). Minnesota, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.205 vs. 0.180). The two teams combined to put up 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 223.5.

The Grizzlies were unable to cover as 5.5-point favorites in their 123-119 loss to the Orlando Magic in their last game. With 23 points and 24 rebounds, Jonas Valanciunas played well for Memphis. Orlando did a fantastic job of making free throws (21-27; 77.8 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.7 (below their season average of 21.4). The two clubs collectively scored 242 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 215.

These two teams have already met three times this season, with the Grizzlies winning two of them. Towns scored a game-high 26 points in the most recent contest, in which the Timberwolves lost 108-106, unable to cover as 4-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 214 points, which was 7.5 points above the projected point total of 206.5 points. The Grizzlies dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 7.5 and a free throw rate of 0.244. For those same stats, the Timberwolves were 13.5 and 0.218, respectively.

Of Minnesota’s 72 games, 39 have finished over the O/U total, while 41 of Memphis’ 71 games have finished under the O/U total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Timberwolves are 32-40 SU and 34-38 ATS, while the Grizzlies are 29-43 SU and 33-37-1 ATS.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play a significant role in this battle. Minnesota commits the third-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the pesky defense of Memphis forces the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.9 percent).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Grizzlies rank 18th (7.7).

Minnesota averages 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Memphis ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).

Memphis ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while Minnesota ranks 14th (48.4).

Minnesota ranks 25th in three pointers attempted per game (28.7) while Memphis ranks 26th (28.1).

Minnesota is 15-23 ATS on the road with 20 overs and 18 unders.

Memphis is 20-16 ATS at home with 19 unders, 16 overs and 1 push.

When holding opponents below 100 points, Memphis is 15-7 and Minnesota is 11-0.

The Grizzlies are 20-19 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 31-34.

The Timberwolves rank 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (16.1).

Minnesota ranks second in second chance points per game (15.5) while Memphis ranks last (10.6).

The Grizzlies rank fourth in blocks per game (5.6) while the Timberwolves rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).

The Timberwolves rank 17th in rebounds per game (45.3) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (41.2).

Memphis ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Minnesota ranks 26th (26.1).

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its last five outings, Minnesota is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 2.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (8.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.0 points per game (6.4 above their season average).

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