Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds Pick 11/06/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-06

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-5) will be at home in FedExForum when they clash against the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-2). Minnesota is a 5.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225.5 points. Action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 6, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Preview

The Timberwolves lost big to the Milwaukee Bucks in their last outing, 134-106. They were not able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. With 25 points on 10-for-21 shooting, Andrew Wiggins led Minnesota in scoring. Milwaukee had an effective field goal percentage of 0.613 (above their season average of 0.561). Minnesota, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 13.8). The two teams combined to put up 240 points, which came in over the O/U total of 230.5.

In the Grizzlies’ last matchup, they were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 107-100, and failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. Ja Morant was Memphis’ high scorer with 23 points on 10-for-16 shooting. Houston had a better free throw rate (0.215 vs. 0.181). Memphis, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.9 vs. 13.8). Combined, the two clubs scored 207 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 230.5.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Memphis offense. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, Memphis ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.6 percent), while the pesky defense of Minnesota has forced the ninth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.1 percent).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Minnesota games have gone over 66.7 percent of the time, while games involving Memphis have gone under 66.7 percent of the time. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Timberwolves have a sizable advantage. They are 4-2 SU and 3-2-1 ATS, while the Grizzlies are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS.

Each team won two of the four games played against each other last season. In the last matchup, the Timberwolves won 112-99. Minnesota did a great job of making free throws (20-21; 95.2 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 17.1).

Timberwolves at Grizzlies Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Timberwolves rank second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Grizzlies rank 19th (7.7).

Minnesota averages 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Memphis ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).

Minnesota ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5) while Memphis ranks 29th (16.4).

Minnesota ranks 24th in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while Memphis ranks 26th (29.0).

Minnesota is 13-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Memphis is 15-7.

The Grizzlies are 25-25 when they score over 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 39-40.

The Grizzlies rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while the Timberwolves rank 16th (48.9).

Minnesota ranks third in second chance points per game (14.9) while Memphis ranks 29th (11.4).

The Grizzlies rank fifth in assists allowed per game (23.4) while the Timberwolves rank 26th (26.0).

The Timberwolves rank 20th in rebounds per game (44.9) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (42.2).

Memphis ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.6) while Minnesota ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).

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