Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/25
At 8:30 ET, the Timberwolves (-225) will take on the Warriors (+188) in a Western Conference matchup. Minnesota is currently favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 200.5.
This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Timberwolves are 49-33 and 6th in the West, while the Warriors are 48-34 and 7th in the conference. ABC will have the TV coverage.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, May 10th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-104 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with 27 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 17 threes.
Can the Minnesota Offense Score Enough on the Road?
With a decisive 117-93 win over the Warriors on Thursday, the Timberwolves improved to 49-33 for the season. Playing at home, Minnesota was favored by 11 points and covered the spread. The game’s total points reached 210.5, exceeding the over/under line of 201.5 by 8.5 points.
Minnesota set the tone early with a 13-0 run, jumping out to a 16-0 lead. They dominated the 1st quarter, holding Golden State to just 15 points. The Timberwolves maintained control throughout, outscoring the Warriors in each quarter, including a 32-28 edge in the 4th.
Julius Randle led the Timberwolves with 24 points and 11 assists in their win over the Warriors, shooting 58.8% from the field. Anthony Edwards and Nickeil Alexander-Walker each added 20 points, with Alexander-Walker hitting 4 threes at a 66.7% rate.
Minnesota connected on 16 threes, shooting 43.2% from deep and 50.6% overall. Edwards scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, while Randle added 9 in the 2nd.
The Timberwolves put on a defensive clinic against the Warriors, holding them to just 93 points. Minnesota set the tone early, allowing only 15 points in the 1st quarter and kept up the pressure throughout the game, giving up 24 points in the 2nd, 26 in the 3rd, and 28 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Timberwolves were particularly effective, limiting the Warriors to just 9 made threes on 28% shooting. Minnesota also sent Golden State to the line 25 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Timberwolves finished with 10 steals and 5 blocks.
Does Golden State Stand a Chance at Home?
The Warriors fell to 48-34 on the season after a 117-93 road loss to the Timberwolves on Thursday. Golden State, who entered the game as +11 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread, and the total score of 210 points went over the 201.5-point line.
Minnesota opened the game with a 13-0 run, and Golden State never recovered. The Timberwolves led 29-15 after the 1st quarter and extended their lead to 85-65 going into the 4th, where they outscored the Warriors 32-28.
In their 117-93 loss to the Timberwolves, the Warriors struggled offensively, shooting just 28.1% from three-point range, making only 9 threes. Their overall field goal percentage was 44.7%.
Jonathan Kuminga led the team with 18 points, scoring 8 in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Jimmy Butler added 17 points, with 8 coming in the 3rd, while Trayce Jackson-Davis was perfect from the field, contributing 15 points.
Defensively, the Warriors struggled against the Timberwolves, giving up 117 points on 50% shooting. Minnesota scored at least 27 points in each quarter, including 32 in the 4th. Golden State also allowed the Timberwolves to hit 16 threes at a 43% clip.
The Warriors sent the Timberwolves to the line 20 times, where they made 13 free throws. Golden State grabbed 32 defensive rebounds but gave up 11 offensive boards. They also recorded 8 steals and 2 blocks.