Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds Pick 12/04/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-04

The Dallas Mavericks (14-6) will be at home in the American Airlines Center when they meet the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-9). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 230.5 points with Dallas set as a 3-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Timberwolves lost to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest, 115-107, despite being 12-point favorites. With 21 points on 7-for-20 shooting, Karl-Anthony Towns led Minnesota in scoring. Memphis had a turnover percentage of 9.1 (better than their season average of 13.9). Minnesota, on the other hand, did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (30-35; 85.7 percent). The two teams combined to put up 222 points, which was under the projected point total of 231.

In the Mavericks’ last game, they dismantled the New Orleans Pelicans, 118-97, as 6-point underdogs. Dallas rallied around Luka Doncic, who was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points on 9-for-18 shooting. Dallas played a flawless contest. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.261 (above their season average of 0.223) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.540 (below their season average of 0.542). New Orleans was 0.106 and 0.463, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads combined to account for 215 points, which was under the O/U total of 222.5.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Mavericks won two out of three contests played against each other last season. In the most recent contest, Minnesota won 110-108. The Timberwolves played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 7.8 and a free throw rate of 0.186. The Mavericks recorded marks of 11.3 and 0.160, respectively, for those same stats.

Of Minnesota’s 19 games, 10 have finished over the projected point total, while 12 of Dallas’ 19 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Mavericks have a significant advantage. They are 14-6 SU and 11-8 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 10-9 SU and 9-9-1 ATS.

Dallas appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Timberwolves rank 12th in defensive efficiency.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves rank eighth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 26th (6.7).

Minnesota ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (39.4) while Dallas ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (33.6).

Minnesota ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while Dallas ranks 25th (15.3).

Dallas averages 24.4 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Minnesota ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (24.3).

Dallas is 4-6 ATS at home, while Minnesota is 7-2 ATS on the road.

The Timberwolves have 5 overs and 4 unders in 9 road games.

Of the Mavericks’ 10 home games, they have 6 overs and 4 unders.

Minnesota is 1-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 2-0.

The Timberwolves are 10-5 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 14-5.

The Timberwolves rank seventh in points in the paint per game (49.4) while the Mavericks rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).

Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (15.2). Minnesota ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).

The Timberwolves rank second in blocks per game (6.6) while the Mavericks rank 23rd (4.5).

The Timberwolves rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Mavericks rank 26th (14.9).

Dallas ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.9) while Minnesota ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (48.0).

Bettings Trends:

Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its last five games, Minnesota is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, down from 8.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (6.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (8.0 below their season average).

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