The Minnesota Timberwolves (16-39) can snap an eight-game road losing streak when they challenge the Dallas Mavericks (34-23) at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds Preview
The Timberwolves were beaten by the Denver Nuggets in their last contest, 128-116, despite being 8.5-point favorites. Minnesota’s Jordan McLaughlin had 15 points and 10 assists in the contest. Denver had an effective field goal percentage of 0.650 (above their season average of 0.526). Minnesota, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (22-29; 75.9 percent). The two teams combined to score 244 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 225.5.
In the Mavericks’ previous outing, they were defeated by the Atlanta Hawks, 111-107, and were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. Tim Hardaway Jr. led Dallas in scoring with 33 points on 11-for-22 shooting. Atlanta had a turnover percentage of 8.4 (better than their season average of 13.9). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.528 vs. 0.480). Combined, the two teams scored 218 points, which was well under the projected point total of 237.
The high-powered offense of Dallas (first in the league with an offensive efficiency of 115.2) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Minnesota (20th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 110.0). The Mavericks figure to have the edge on that end of the court. It will also be a battle of opposite tempos as the fast-paced Timberwolves rank second in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Mavericks rank 21st.
Games including these teams tend to go over the O/U total. Minnesota games have gone over 55.6 percent of the time, while 63.2 percent of Dallas games have finished over. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Mavericks have a sizable advantage. They are 34-23 SU and 33-24 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 16-39 SU and 18-34-2 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Timberwolves, it’s been Malik Beasley, who has averaged 21 points,5.6 rebounds, while the Mavericks have gotten great contributions from Hardaway Jr. (20 points,4.2 assists).
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 235 points, which was over the projected point total of 228.5. The Mavericks won 121-114, covering as 6-point favorites. The Mavericks’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Timberwolves. Dallas had a rate of 7.3, while Minnesota posted a mark of 10.7. Dwight Powell had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 24 points and five rebounds.
Timberwolves at Mavericks Free Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Minnesota ranks 24th (5.6).
Minnesota ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while Dallas ranks 27th (44.6).
The Timberwolves rank 20th in points off turnovers per game (16.2) while the Mavericks rank 27th (14.5).
Dallas is 12-17 ATS at home, while Minnesota is 12-13-1 ATS on the road.
Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Minnesota is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 6.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 121.8 points per game (9.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.4 points per game (8.0 above their season average).