Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction 01/03/18

 
Wednesday, 01/03/2018 at 07:35 pm MINNESOTA (24-15) at BROOKLYN (15-23)
Expanded Matchup Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
707MINNESOTA 213 108.4 105.7 24-15 17-20-2 20-18-1 47.6% 79.8% 35% 47.9% 77.9% 37.1%
708BROOKLYN +6 106.9 109.2 15-23 23-15-0 17-21-0 44.2% 75.6% 35.3% 46.2% 76.9% 35.2%

Last Updated: 2018-01-03

The Minnesota Timberwolves (24-14), 6.5-point favorites, will travel to Barclays Center to clash with the Brooklyn Nets (14-23). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213.5 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds

Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Nets barely escaped the Orlando Magic 98-95, while the Timberwolves easily got past the Los Angeles Lakers 114-96.

Minnesota dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 15.3 (worse than their season average of 11.6) and a free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.228). Los Angeles was 21.3 and 0.263, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Brooklyn’s 0.494 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Orlando, who had a mark of 0.396. The Nets’ mark was below their season average of 0.510, while the Magic’s was below their season average of 0.521. DeMarre Carroll had a solid performance for Brooklyn, finishing with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Minnesota, meanwhile, was lifted by Andrew Wiggins, who had 21 points and nine rebounds.

It will be a battle of contrasting styles as the fast-paced Nets will look to push the slower-paced Timberwolves. The Nets rank fourth in possessions per game while the Timberwolves are 21st. The Timberwolves should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 3rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while the Nets force the first-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.6 percent).

Of the Timberwolves’ 38 games, 17 have finished under, 20 have finished over and one has pushed. Minnesota has a solid 24-14 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 17-19-2 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Minnesota, a little over half of Nets games have finished under the projected point total. Brooklyn has a solid record ATS (22-15), despite being 14-23 SU.

The Timberwolves’ Jimmy Butler has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 28.0 points, 5.6 assists, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Caris LeVert has averaged 16.4 points, 6.4 assists and 1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Nets.

This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Timberwolves won the most recent contest 129-109. Minnesota won the rebounding battle. The Timberwolves had 13 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Nets had five and 40, respectively. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves average 14.1 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Nets rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (12.4).

Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (34.1) while Minnesota ranks 28th (23.0).

The Timberwolves rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Nets rank 24th (15.3).

Minnesota averages 47.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6).

Minnesota ranks 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (5.5).

The Timberwolves rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.1) while the Nets rank 28th (46.0).

The Nets rank eighth in assists allowed per game (21.5) while the Timberwolves rank 26th (24.1).

Brooklyn averages 10.6 fast break points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Minnesota ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3).

Minnesota ranks fourth in steals per game (9.0) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (6.5).

Brooklyn is 9-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Minnesota is 11-2.

In games where they reach 100 points, the Nets are 11-17 and the Timberwolves are 22-8.

Minnesota is 11-7-1 ATS on the road, while Brooklyn is 9-7 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 11 of the Timberwolves’ 19 road games, while 8 of the Nets’ 16 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Minnesota and Brooklyn are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Timberwolves’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 2.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 104.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (4.2 below their season average).

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