Last Updated: 2017-11-11
The Phoenix Suns (4-9) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-4) battle at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns are 10-point underdogs and will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 11, 2017.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Suns were beaten by the Orlando Magic, 128-112, while the Timberwolves lost big to the Golden State Warriors, 125-101.
Minnesota held Golden State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.6 (below their season average of 24.3) while Phoenix had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.5 vs. 20.0). Phoenix’s Alex Len had a good game, recording 21 points and 13 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns was a key piece for Minnesota with 16 points and 12 rebounds.
A focal point for the Phoenix offense is getting to the free throw line. The Suns rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.251), but Minnesota is among the best in the NBA at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking second by yielding a FTA rate of 0.157).
Of the Timberwolves’ 11 games, six have finished over the projected point total. Minnesota holds records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Suns’ 12 games that accepted bets, 7 have finished over the total. Moreover, Phoenix owns records of 4-9 SU and 5-7 ATS.
The Timberwolves dominated this series last year, winning all three games. In the last game, Minnesota won 112-111. Minnesota had a better effective field goal percentage (0.560 vs. 0.483). Phoenix, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of making free throws (28-32; 87.5 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
The Suns average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
Phoenix averages 12.5 fast break points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Minnesota ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.1).
The Timberwolves rank 11th in assists per game (22.5) while the Suns rank 29th (17.8).
Minnesota ranks fifth in steals per game (8.8) while Phoenix ranks 20th (7.2).
Minnesota averages 14.3 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (12.4).
The Timberwolves rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (40.9) while the Suns rank 25th (47.0).
The Timberwolves rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while the Suns rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.2).
Phoenix ranks 23rd in three pointers attempted per game (25.7) while Minnesota ranks 29th (23.1).
Minnesota ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (47.3) while Phoenix ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.8).
Phoenix is 1-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Minnesota is 4-0.
The Timberwolves are 7-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 3-5.
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS at home, while Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 4 of the Timberwolves’ 6 road games, while 3 of the Suns’ 6 home games have gone over.
The Timberwolves are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
In their last five games, Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 10.5 for the season.