Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Golden Gophers and Boilermakers. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on BTN, and it’s hosted by the Boilermakers at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN. Get ready to place your bets! This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 146 points, and Purdue is favored to win by -16.5 at home vs. Minnesota.


The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +16.5

This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Boilermakers.
  • Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Minnesota at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Golden Gophers Have a Shot at a Win at West Lafayette?

Minnesota comes into this game as a 16.5-point underdog, and they are 5-7 this season when they are the underdog. On the road, the Golden Gophers have gone 2-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -6.3 points per game.

Over their last 10 games on the road, Minnesota has gone just 3-7, and their record this season is 15-8. In their last game, they lost to Iowa by a score of 90-85.

As the underdog, Minnesota has been a great bet this season, going 9-3 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 18-4-1. On the road, the Golden Gophers have an ATS record of 5-2 this year and are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games. As the underdog, they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Minnesota games is 12-11. The average point total in their games this year is 144.7, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 143.8. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 143 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Minnesota offense tallied 85 points in a matchup against Iowa. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.9%, and they made 12 threes. Leading Minnesota in scoring vs. Iowa was Dawson Garcia with his 18 points. Braeden Carrington also added 18 points for the Golden Gophers.

At present, the Golden Gophers’ defense is nationally ranked 88th, allowing 68.6 points per game. The Minnesota defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 90 points and allowed Iowa to connect on 5 threes.

Are Purdue Ready for a Home Win?

With a record of 22-2, Purdue has been dominant all season long. They have won eight straight games and are 11-2 in Big Ten play. At home, the Boilermakers are a perfect 15-0, and their average margin of victory is +21.1.

Coming off a 79-59 win over Indiana, Purdue has now won 10 straight games at home. They have been favored in 23 of their 24 games, going 21-2 in those contests. For the season, they have a scoring margin of +6.2 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has an ATS record of 13-8-2 and they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 15-8-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 148.2, and today’s line of 146 is lower than that. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

In contrast to their season average of 85.1 points per game, the Purdue had a below average performance. They scored 79 points against Indiana and had a field goal percentage of 42.4%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Zach Edey who comes into today’s matchup averaging 23.2. Lance Jones also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.8.

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 103rd in the country at 69.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.9% this season.