Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Golden Gophers and Spartans. The game is starting at 6:30 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Spartans at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Big Ten conference contest is set at 142 points, with the Spartans being the favored team playing at home against the Golden Gophers.


The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +11

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 6:30 ET on Thursday, January 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Minnesota at +11.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Golden Gophers Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Minnesota will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on Michigan State on the road. The Golden Gophers are 12-5 overall this season, including a 3-3 record in Big Ten play. So far, they have gone 9-2 in non-conference games compared to 1-3 on the road.

On the season, Minnesota has been the underdog in six of their 17 games, going 2-4 in those contests. They are coming off an 86-77 loss to Iowa and have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road.

Minnesota’s ATS record this season is 12-4-1, including a 2-2 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Golden Gophers are 3-3 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Minnesota has gone 6-4 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Minnesota games is 8-9, and today’s line of 142 is very close to the average over/under line in their games of 143.9. So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, which matches today’s OU line.

The Golden Gophers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 77 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77.8 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Dawson Garcia, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.4, while Joshua Ola-Joseph also carries a PPG average of 11 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Minnesota defense is giving up an average of 67.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Minnesota’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.

Do the Spartans Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Michigan State has been dominant at home this season with a record of 10-4 and an average scoring margin of +15.8 points per game. They have won six straight games at home and their record in Big Ten games is 2-4.

For the season, Michigan State is 10-7 and they have gone 9-4 when favored. They come into this game having won their last game against Rutgers by a score of 73-55.

As the favorite, Michigan State has an ATS record of 8-5 this season. At home, the Spartans have an ATS mark of 9-5 and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Michigan State is 7-3 vs. the spread.

Michigan State’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 142.6. Today’s over/under line of 142 is right in line with the average OU line in their games this year (142.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.

In their previous game, the Spartans’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 77.1 points per contest. Tyson Walker is leading the team in scoring at 19.9 points per contest. A.J Hoggard has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.4 going into the game.

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 44th, allowing 65.5 points per game. The Michigan State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 55 points and allowed Rutgers to connect on 12 threes.