Betting on today’s Golden Gophers and Fighting Illini game? Catch the action at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL, as the Fighting Illini hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on BTN. The over/under for this game is set at 155.5 points, and Illinois is favored by -11.5 vs. Minnesota in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +11.5

This game will be played at State Farm Center at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Even though we have Illinois winning straight-up, we like Minnesota at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Golden Gophers Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Minnesota will be the underdog in this game, as they have a record of 5-9 when not favored this season. They are coming off a 73-55 loss to Nebraska and have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road.

Overall, the Golden Gophers have a record of 17-10, including a mark of 8-8 in Big Ten play. They have been much better at home, going 15-3 compared to just 2-7 on the road.

As the underdog, Minnesota has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 10-4. On the road, the Golden Gophers are 6-3 vs. the spread this year and have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Overall, Minnesota has an ATS record of 21-5-1 this season.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is 15-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 145.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.

In their latest game, Minnesota offense put up 55 points against Nebraska. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 31% and made 6 threes. The team’s top scorer is Dawson Garcia, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.3, while Cam Christie also carries a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

The Golden Gophers’ defense is presently ranked 111st nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. Against Nebraska in their most recent game, the Minnesota defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing Nebraska to hit 38% of their shots.

Can Illinois Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Illinois has been dominant at home this season, going 15-2 with an average scoring margin of +15.9 points per game. They have won five straight games at home and have an 18-4 record when favored. Over their last ten games at home, they are 9-1.

Coming off a 95-85 win over Iowa, the Fighting Illini are 20-7 overall and 11-5 in Big Ten play. They have a point differential of +4.8 on the road this season, going 5-5.

As the favorite this season, Illinois has gone 11-10-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 8-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 19-8 and the average over/under line in their games is 148.2. Today’s over/under line is 155.5, and so far this year, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 174 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

Illinois’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 95 points against Iowa. They had an overall field goal percentage of 49.2% and made 23/30 free throws. In terms of offense, the Fighting Illini have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 98th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 151st in percentage and 77th in three-pointers made.

On defense, Illinois is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. Iowa, the Hawkeyes finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 85 points vs. Illinois.