Planning on watching today’s Panthers and Norse game? Catch the action at Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis, IN, as the Norse hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on ESPN2. This Horizon League conference matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points, and Northern Kentucky is favored to win by -1 at home vs. Milwaukee.


The Pick: Northern Kentucky Norse -1

This game will be played at Indiana Farmers Coliseum at 9:30 ET on Monday, March 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Norse.
  • Not only will Northern Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Milwaukee Grab a Win on the Road?

After winning their last game against Green Bay, Milwaukee comes into this game with a record of 19-14. So far this season, they have gone 14-7 in Horizon League games and 5-7 in non-conference matchups.

On the road, the Panthers have gone 6-10, and they have gone 11-3 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -5.2, and they have won their last three road games.

As the underdog, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 8-6 this season and an overall ATS record of 14-16. On the road, the Panthers have gone 7-9 vs. the spread this year and are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Milwaukee games this year (153.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 166 points.

Milwaukee recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 95 points against Green Bay. This output exceeded their season average of 79.5 points per game. Offensively, the Panthers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 200th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 317th in terms of percentage and 120th in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Milwaukee defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.6 points per game (313rd). The Milwaukee defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 84 points and allowed Green Bay to connect on 8 threes.

Can the Northern Kentucky Offense Score Enough at Home?

After a loss to Wright State, the Norse are 18-14 on the season and 12-8 in Horizon League play. At home, they are 10-3 this year, and they have won their last four games at home. They have been the favorite in 13 games this year, going 12-1 in those contests.

On the season, Northern Kentucky has a scoring differential of +8.5 points per game at home, and they are favored by one point in this game. Their record as the favorite this year is 12-1.

As the favorite this season, Northern Kentucky has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. At home, they are 7-6 ATS. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Norse have a record of 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Northern Kentucky’s games this season (143.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 168 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Northern Kentucky’s offense scored 88 points against Wright State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 51.5%, and they went 10/16 from the free-throw line. Marques Warrick is leading the team in scoring at 20.5 points per contest. Trey Robinson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11 going into the game.

On the defensive side, Northern Kentucky is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.9 points per game. In their most recent game, the Northern Kentucky defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Wright State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 94 points.