The Panthers and Phoenix are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Phoenix will host the game at Resch Center in Ashwaubenon, WI. The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and Green Bay is favored by -1 vs. Milwaukee in a Horizon League conference matchup.


The Pick: Green Bay Phoenix -1

This game will be played at Resch Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Phoenix.
  • Not only will Green Bay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Panthers Pull Off a Win at Ashwaubenon?

On the season, Milwaukee has a record of 18-14, which includes a 13-7 mark in Horizon League action. The Panthers have won six straight games, including their most recent contest against Detroit, which they won by a score of 83-79.

So far, Milwaukee has gone 5-8 when listed as the underdog, and they are currently listed as one-point underdogs for today’s game against Green Bay. The Panthers are 5-10 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -6.3 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Milwaukee has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 6-9, including a mark of 1-2 in their last 3 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Milwaukee games is 16-11-2 and today’s line of 145.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (154). So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent game, the Panthers’ offense concluded with 83 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 79 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Panthers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 215th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 309th in terms of percentage and 104th in three-pointers made.

Facing Green Bay, Milwaukee aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 78.5 points allowed per game (313rd). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Milwaukee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.

Pressure Builds for Green Bay as Home Favorites

Green Bay enters this game as a 1-point favorite, and they are 5-3 this season when favored. They have an 8-4 record at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +5.0 points per game.

Overall, the Phoenix are 18-13, and they are 13-7 in Horizon League play. They have gone 0-3 in their last three home games, and their record over the last 10 games at home is 7-3.

When looking at Green Bay’s overall ATS record this season, they are 19-10. At home, their ATS mark is 8-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Phoenix are 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Green Bay’s games this year (136.4). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 139 points compared to their season average of 137.4 points per game. So far this year, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

Coming off their recent game, the Green Bay offense tallied 69 points in a matchup against Milwaukee. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.2%, and they made 12 threes. In terms of offense, the Phoenix have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 195th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 197th in percentage and 49th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Green Bay defense is giving up an average of 68.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Milwaukee, the Panthers finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 90 points vs. Green Bay.