Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds Pick 11/10/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-10

Offense meets defense when the Milwaukee Bucks (6-3) visit Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder (4-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222.5 points with Milwaukee opening as a 7-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Preview

In the Bucks’ last matchup, they lost a tough one against the Utah Jazz, 103-100, despite being 2-point favorites. With 30 points on 10-for-22 shooting, Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee in scoring. Utah was lights out from beyond the arc (15-36; 41.7 percent). Milwaukee, on the other hand, forced the Jazz into a turnover percentage of 17.1 (above the 11.7 mark opponents have averaged against Milwaukee this season). The two teams combined to put up 203 points, which finished under the projected point total of 217.5.

The Thunder hope to keep it rolling after covering the 4.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 114-108. Oklahoma City’s Chris Paul led the way, putting up 16 points, nine assists and five rebounds. The Thunder held the Warriors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 24.5) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.509). Combined, the two teams scored 222 points, which finished over the projected point total of 211.5.

The Thunder won both contests against the Bucks last season. In the most recent game, Oklahoma City won 127-116. Oklahoma City’s 0.601 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Milwaukee, who had a mark of 0.505.

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games involving Milwaukee have finished over 55.6 percent of the time, while Oklahoma City games have gone under 75.0 percent of the time. The Bucks have the better straight up (SU) record (6-3 vs. 4-5), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Milwaukee is 5-4 ATS, while Oklahoma City is 5-3 ATS.

Oklahoma City might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks second in defensive efficiency, while the Thunder rank 24th in offensive efficiency dating back to the 2018-19 season. It will also be a matchup of contrasting tempos as the fast-paced Bucks rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Thunder rank 24th.

Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Bucks rank first in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Thunder rank 22nd (5.1).

Milwaukee ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2).

Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (50.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).

Milwaukee ranks 23rd in assists per game (25.7) while Oklahoma City ranks 27th (23.1).

When allowing under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 13-1 and Milwaukee is 24-1.

In games where they reach 100 points, the Bucks are 75-23 and the Thunder are 50-29.

The Bucks rank first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Thunder rank 14th (8.1).

Milwaukee ranks third in fast break points per game (18.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (17.3).

The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (38.7) while the Thunder rank 25th (32.3).

The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.1) while the Thunder rank seventh (48.1).

Milwaukee ranks sixth in second chance points per game (12.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 28th (15.1).

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