Looking to win big? The Bucks and Rockets face off at 8:00 ET on Spac. The Rockets are hosting the game at Toyota Center in Houston, TX. The Bucks come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 238.5 points.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Rockets +5.5
This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-114 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 15 threes.
Will Milwaukee Find a Way to Win on the Road?
In the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are in 2nd place and lead the Central Division with a record of 25-10. When playing non-conference teams, Milwaukee has gone a perfect 5-0 for the season.
On the road, the Bucks have been slightly better in terms of both their straight-up and ATS records. Milwaukee’s road scoring margin is +3.7 points per contest, and they have an ATS record of 9-7. Each of their last two road games have failed to cover the spread.
So far, the Bucks have been the favorite in 34 of their 35 games, putting together a record of 25-9. However, they have failed to cover the spread in three straight games as the favorite. For the season, they have an average scoring differential of +5.3 points per game on the road.
When looking at their over/under performance, the Bucks have gone 22-13 with their games averaging 244.5 points. Today’s line of 238.5 points is just below their average over/under line of 238.8. In their previous games with lower over/under lines than 238.5, their OU record is 11-5.
In their most recent game, the Bucks put up 125 points and shot 53.3% from the field. At the free-throw line, they went 15/19. On the season, the Bucks are shooting 50% from the field, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. When it comes to three-pointers, they are 6th in percentage and 6th in makes.
Coming into the game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 119.7 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 68.6% of their games. Inside the arc, the Bucks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.3% and 33.0% from three-point territory.
Taking a Look at the Rockets Chances at Home
The Rockets will host the Bucks as the 5.5-point underdogs today. If they are able to pull off the upset, they will also snap their three-game losing streak as the underdog.
Overall, Houston is 9th in the Western Conference standings, sitting at 17-16 for the season. Against other teams in the West, the Rockets have gone 14-10 compared to just 3-6 in non-conference games.
When playing at home, Houston has put together an average scoring margin of +7.6 points per game with a record of 14-6. Their average ATS mark at home is currently sitting at +8.4 points per game.
This season, the Rockets have been the underdog in 22 of their 33 games and have a record of 11-10 against the spread in those games. Their average scoring margin as the underdog is -1.2 points per game.
So far, the over/under results for the Rockets have been fairly split, with 14 of their games going over the OU line. Today’s line of 238.5 is slightly higher than their average OU line of 221.9. This season, just one of their games has had a higher over/under line than 238.5.
In their most recent game, the Rockets’ offense struggled and only put up 95 points against the Timberwolves. In total, they shot 32 three-pointers and had a 40% field goal percentage. Jalen Green was the team’s leading scorer with 20 points while Alperen Sengün added 19 points.
In the current season, the Rockets defense has excelled, sitting 2nd in the NBA by allowing 109.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Rockets are forcing 12.5 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 26th in blocked shots at 4.1 per game.