At 10:00 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (+149) will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors (-181) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 226.5.

Golden State (-4.5) is 32-28 on the season and currently sits in 10th place in the Western Conference. Milwaukee (+4.5) is 41-21 and is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks come into this game with a 6-game win streak.


The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +4.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-107 in favor of the Bucks.
  • Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 15 threes.

Will the Bucks Find a Way to Win in San Francisco?

As the underdog, the Bucks have won their last two games against the spread and are 2-6 as the underdog this season. On the road, their ATS record is 13-17.

Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 30-32, and the under has hit in their last six games. Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is lower than their season average of 238.2.

In their most recent game, the Bucks defeated the Clippers by a score of 113-106. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and have now won six straight.

The Bucks have an overall record of 41-21, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. Against the West, they are 12-8 and 29-13 against the East.

On the road, the Bucks are 16-14 this season and have won four straight games. Their ATS record on the road is 13-17, and they are 27-35 overall.

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the most prolific teams in the league, averaging 121.4 points per game (2nd). On the road, they are averaging 119.6 points per game (3rd).

So far, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.1% of their games. However, they have scored below their own average in their last three games.

When it comes to pace, Milwaukee is 6th in the league at 100.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Bucks are shooting 49% (6th).

Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 18th rank in the NBA, allowing 116.9 points per game. The Bucks defense is coming off a game in which they held the Clippers offense to just 47.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 106 points to Los Angeles.

Do the Warriors Have What it Takes at Home?

The Warriors are 26-12 as the favorite this season and have been favored in 38 of their 60 games. They have covered the spread in three straight games as the favorite and have a 19-19 ATS record at home.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 29-30-1, and the under has hit in seven straight games. This year, their games have averaged 235.8 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 226.5.

In their last game, the Warriors were 8-point underdogs to the Celtics and lost by a score of 140-88. The O/U line for that game was 231 points, and Golden State did not cover the spread.

Despite their loss to Boston, the Warriors are still 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 32-28. Against the spread, they are 33-26 overall and 13-17 at home.

Against Western Conference teams, the Warriors are 16-21 compared to 16-7 in non-conference games. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points at home.

At home, the Warriors are averaging 117.5 points per game (12th) compared to their season average of 118.6 (7th). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Golden State is one of the top teams in the league. They are 2nd in three-point makes per game (15) and 3rd in attempts (40). Overall, the Warriors are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (9th).

In terms of pace, Golden State is 8th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game. As a team, they are 16th in field goal percentage (47%).

On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 19th in the league in points allowed at 117.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 114.7 points per contest (8th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.7% from downtown.