Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds Pick 12/04/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-04

The Detroit Pistons (8-13) will attempt to snap the 12-game winning streak of Milwaukee when they welcome the Bucks (18-3) to Little Caesars Arena. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons ATS Preview

The Bucks dismantled the New York Knicks in their last outing, 132-88, comfortably covering as 17-point favorites. Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points on 10-for-14 shooting. The Bucks had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.651 (above their season average of 0.556) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.3 (above their season average of 21.5). The two teams combined to put up 220 points, which was just under the projected point total of 222.5.

In the Pistons’ last matchup, they dismantled the Cleveland Cavaliers, 127-94, as 2.5-point underdogs. Detroit’s Andre Drummond played a pivotal role with 17 points, 14 rebounds and five steals. Detroit played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.638 (above their season average of 0.546) and a turnover percentage of 10.0 (better than their season average of 14.5). Cleveland put up marks of 0.472 and 12.0, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two teams scored 221 points, which came in over the O/U total of 217.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 194 points, well under the projected point total of 225.5. The Bucks won 104-90, covering as 13-point favorites. The Bucks played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.107 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.9. For those same stats, the Pistons recorded marks of 0.066 and 13.0, respectively. Antetokounmpo put up a double-double in the victory with 28 points and 10 rebounds.

Of Milwaukee’s 21 games, 11 have finished over the O/U total, while 11 of Detroit’s 20 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Bucks have a clear advantage. They are 18-3 SU and 10-11 ATS, while the Pistons are 8-13 SU and 7-11-2 ATS.

This showdown pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesDetroit ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.551), while Milwaukee is third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.492). This contest should be a matchup of conflicting paces. The up-tempo Bucks rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Pistons rank 29th.

Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Bucks average 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Pistons rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.4).

Milwaukee ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.3) while Detroit ranks 17th (13.2).

Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (19.5) while Detroit ranks 24th (11.8).

Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Detroit ranks 14th (4.8).

Milwaukee is 5-6 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 6-4 ATS at home.

Of the Bucks’ 11 road games, they have 6 unders and 5 overs.

Of the Pistons’ 10 home games, they have 6 overs, 3 unders and 1 push.

Milwaukee is 5-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 4-0.

The Bucks are 18-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 7-10.

The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.7) while the Pistons rank 24th (42.8).

Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (38.6).

The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Pistons rank 26th (8.5).

The Bucks rank eighth in assists per game (25.6) while the Pistons rank 20th in assists allowed per game (25.0).

Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while Detroit ranks 24th (50.3).

Bettings Trends:

Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.6, up from 1.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 124.2 points per game (3.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (5.6 below their season average).

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