The Milwaukee Bucks (46-8), the league’s top scoring team, will challenge the Detroit Pistons (19-38) at Little Caesars Arena. Milwaukee is a 13-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 224.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 20, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
In the Bucks’ last game, they lost to the Indiana Pacers, 118-111. They failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. With 19 points on 8-for-14 shooting, Donte DiVincenzo led Milwaukee in scoring. Indiana held the Bucks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.478 (below their season average of 0.558). Milwaukee, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 vs. 19.5). The two teams combined to score 229 points, which came in over the O/U total of 224.
Although the Pistons were defeated by the Orlando Magic in their last outing, 116-112, they were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Christian Wood was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-14 shooting. Orlando forced the Pistons into a turnover percentage of 16.9 (above their season average of 13.3). Detroit, on the other hand, made 18 of their 45 three pointers (40.0 percent). The two clubs combined to score 228 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 209.
These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Bucks winning both. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 35 points in the most recent game, in which the Bucks beat the Pistons 127-103, covering as 8.5-point favorites. He also recorded nine rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 230 points, which was 7 points above the projected point total of 223 points. The Bucks dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.278 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4. The Pistons put up marks of 0.151 and 16.7, respectively, for those same stats.
Of Milwaukee’s 54 games, 27 have finished over the projected point total, while 34 of Detroit’s 57 games have finished over the projected point total. The Bucks come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 46-8 SU and 31-23 ATS, while the Pistons are 19-38 SU and 21-34-2 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Bucks, it’s been Khris Middleton, who has averaged 23 points,9.4 rebounds,6.2 assists,1.2 steals, while the Pistons have received solid contributions from Wood (18 points,8.8 rebounds).
Detroit might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Milwaukee currently ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Pistons rank 20th in offensive efficiency. It will also be a battle of opposite tempos as the aggressively-paced Bucks rank first in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Pistons rank 23rd.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.8) while the Pistons rank 25th (51.9).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in assists per game (26.1) while Detroit ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.8).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while Detroit ranks 24th (11.1).
Milwaukee ranks 20th in steals per game (7.4) while Detroit ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Milwaukee is 15-11 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 11-19 ATS at home.
The Bucks have 14 unders and 12 overs in 26 road games.
In 30 home games, the Pistons have 20 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 12-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Detroit is 4-3.
The Pistons are 18-26 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 46-8.
The Bucks rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Pistons rank 16th (13.3).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.8).
The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (52.0) while the Pistons rank 29th (42.4).
The Bucks average 16.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Pistons rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
Milwaukee averages 6.3 blocks per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Detroit ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 2.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (0.9 below their season average).