At 9:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-185) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+151) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are currently favored by 4.5 points and have a record of 32-15, which is good for 4th in the Western Conference.
This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on ALT. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 239.5 points.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +4.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, January 29th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 125-116 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 16 threes.
Do the Bucks Have What it Takes in Denver?
Milwaukee’s ATS record on the road this season is 8-12, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last six road games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 0-2, and they are getting 4.5 points today.
The Bucks have an O/U record of 28-18 this season, and their games have averaged 244.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 239.5, which is right around their season average.
In their last game against the Pelicans, the Bucks won by a score of 141-117. The O/U line for that game was 243 points. Milwaukee covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
Overall, the Bucks are 32-14 this season, which is the best record in the Central Division and the second-best in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 8-2 compared to 24-12 against the East.
The Bucks have been one of the NBA’s top scoring teams this season, averaging 124.4 points per game (2nd). They have been even better on the road, leading the league with 122.8 points per game.
Milwaukee’s offense is built around their three-point shooting, as they are 8th in the NBA in three-point attempts per game (37.5). Overall, they are 5th in three-point makes per game (14.2).
When it comes to two-point shooting, the Bucks are one of the league’s best. They are 2nd in two-point field goal percentage (58%) and 9th in two-point makes per game.
So far, the Bucks defense is giving up 120.1 points per contest, which has them sitting 24th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. On two point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.6% and allowing 34.6% from beyond the arc.
Do the Nuggets Stand a Chance at Home?
The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites today against the Bucks and are 30-12 when favored this season. In their last 42 games, they have been favored compared to just five games as the underdog.
Denver’s ATS record for the season is 19-26, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games. At home, the Nuggets are 11-10 ATS.
On the season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 17-29-1, and the under has hit in their last five games. Today’s O/U line of 239.5 is higher than 44 of their previous games.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the 76ers by a score of 111-105. Denver was favored by 13 points in that game, and the O/U line was 225.5.
With a record of 32-15, the Nuggets are currently 4th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-10 and 2-4 against division opponents.
On average, the Nuggets’ games have finished with 226.1 points this season, which is below today’s O/U line of 239.5. Overall, their O/U lines have averaged 227.7 points.
This season, the Nuggets are one of the most efficient teams in the league when it comes to two-point shooting. They are ranked 4th in field goal percentage at 49% and 2nd in two-point field goals made. However, they are 28th in three-point attempts and 26th in free throw attempts.
At home, Denver is averaging 120.1 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 115.1 points per game. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are the slowest team in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.
So far, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.9% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the league with 28.8 per game. However, they are just 14th in offensive rebounds.
The Nuggets’ defense is presently ranked 6th in the league, allowing an average of 111.0 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.3% and 35.8% from three-point territory.