Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls Free Pick 02/25/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-02-25

A seven-game road winning streak is on the line for the Milwaukee Bucks (45-14) when they square off against the Chicago Bulls (16-44) at United Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points with Milwaukee opening as an 11-point favorite. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago.

Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls Odds Preview

The Bucks were victorious over the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last matchup, 140-128, but were unable to cover as 13-point favorites. With 27 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists, Giannis Antetokounmpo had a solid game for Milwaukee. Milwaukee dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.221 (above their season average of 0.190) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.626 (above their season average of 0.551). Minnesota recorded marks of 0.157 and 0.549, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 268 points, which was well over the projected point total of 232.5.

The last time the Bulls took the court, they defeated the Boston Celtics, 126-116, as 10-point underdogs. Chicago’s Lauri Markkanen had a good game, recording 35 points and 15 rebounds. Chicago played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 29.7 (above their season average of 18.3) and a free throw rate of 0.227 (above their season average of 0.182). For those same stats, Boston had marks of 13.6 and 0.174, respectively. Combined, the two squads scored 242 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 219.5.

These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Bucks winning all three. Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 29 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Bucks defeated the Bulls 112-99, covering as 11.5-point favorites. He also had 17 rebounds and eight assists. The two teams combined to score 211 points, which was 16 points below the projected point total of 227 points. Milwaukee did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (24-29; 82.8 percent). Chicago, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.1 vs. 15.5).

Of Milwaukee’s 59 games, 32 have finished under the projected point total, while 33 of Chicago’s 60 games have finished under the O/U total. The Bucks come into this game with a sizable advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 45-14 SU and 34-23-2 ATS, while the Bulls are 16-44 SU and 27-31-2 ATS.

Chicago might have difficulty finding the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Bulls rank 30th in offensive efficiency.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Bucks rank eighth in assists per game (26.1) while the Bulls rank 27th (22.0).

Milwaukee ranks fifth in fast break points per game (17.5) while Chicago ranks 17th (11.9).

Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Chicago ranks 27th (15.0).

Milwaukee ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Chicago ranks 10th (7.4).

Milwaukee is 17-10-2 ATS on the road with 17 unders and 12 overs.

At home, Chicago is 12-18 ATS with 18 unders and 12 overs.

Milwaukee is 16-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Chicago is 8-5.

The Bucks are 44-10 when they score more than 100 points, while the Bulls are 12-26.

The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (54.3) while the Bulls rank 18th (48.1).

Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (37.6) while Chicago ranks 27th (26.7).

The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (48.9) while the Bulls rank 26th (42.2).

The Bucks rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Bulls rank 13th (13.1).

Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (5.9) while Chicago ranks 26th (4.4).

Bettings Trends:

Chicago is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its last five outings, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Bulls have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Chicago has lost by an average of 8.0 points.

During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (9.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average).

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