At 7:30 ET, the 10th-ranked Hawks will host the 2nd-ranked Bucks in an Eastern Conference matchup. Milwaukee (-196) is favored by 4.5 points over Atlanta (+162) and the over/under line is 225.5.

State Farm Arena in Atlanta will be the site of tonight’s game. The Bucks (46-27) have dropped two straight games, while the Hawks (34-39) have won four in a row.


The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +4.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Saturday, March 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-114 in favor of the Bucks.
  • Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Can Milwaukee Lock in a Road Win?

Milwaukee is favored by 4.5 points today and has been the favorite in 61 of their 73 games this season. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +6.5 points per game, compared to -12.2 points per game as the underdog.

Against the spread, the Bucks are 32-41 for the season and have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, their ATS record is 15-21.

This season, Milwaukee has an O/U record of 36-37 and their games have averaged 237.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 225.5, with 58 of their games having higher O/U lines than that.

The Bucks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-27. In their last game, they lost to the Pelicans by a score of 107-100. The O/U line for that game was 226 points.

Overall, Milwaukee is 43-18 as the favorite and 3-9 as the underdog. Their ATS record as the favorite is 27-34, and they have an average scoring differential of +6.5 points per game as the favorite.

The Bucks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 120.3 points per game (4th). When playing on the road, they are scoring 117.7 points per game (6th).

When it comes to pace, the Bucks are 5th in the league at 100.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 7th overall at 49%.

From beyond the arc, Milwaukee is 4th in made threes per game (14.4) and 6th in three-point shooting percentage (37%). They are also 5th in true shooting percentage.

Coming into the game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.9 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 58.9% of their games. Milwaukee’s defense is currently forcing 12.2 turnovers per game, which is 10th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 16th in blocked shots, with an average of 5 rejections per game.

Will the Hawks Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

The Hawks have won four straight games and are currently 10th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 34-39. In the Southeast Division, they are in 3rd place.

As the underdog, the Hawks have covered the spread in their last four games and are 11-22 ATS as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 4.5 points against the Bucks.

In their most recent game, the Hawks beat the Celtics by a score of 123-122. They were 15.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for the game was 228.5 points.

Atlanta’s O/U record for the season is 40-33, and they have had six straight games go over the posted total. This year, their games have averaged 239.8 points per game.

In the Eastern Conference, the Hawks have gone 20-26 against other teams and are 14-13 in non-conference games. Their ATS record for the season is 27-46.

At home this season, the Hawks are averaging 122.7 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, they are 5th in the league in scoring at 119.2 points per game. In terms of pace, Atlanta is 6th in the NBA at 100.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Hawks are 6th in the league with an average of 13.8 made threes per game. However, their three-point shooting percentage is just 36%, which is 16th in the NBA.

So far, Atlanta has outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.3% of their games this season. In terms of field goal percentage, the Hawks are 20th in the league at 46%. When looking at free throw shooting, they are 4th in made free throws per game.

So far, the Hawks’ defense is ranked 28th in the league at 120.5 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Hawks are causing 12.4 turnovers per game, ranking 14th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 23rd in rejections, averaging 4.6 blocked shots each game.