Last Updated: 2017-11-10
Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Milwaukee Bucks (4-6), 4.5-point underdogs, travel to San Antonio to take on the Spurs (7-4). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 206.5 points and it will air on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 10, 2017.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
In their last outing, the Spurs beat the Los Angeles Clippers, 120-107, while the Bucks lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 124-119.
San Antonio played a perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.3 (better than their season average of 12.5) and a free throw rate of 0.179 (matching their season average). Los Angeles put up marks of 16.0 and 0.146, respectively, for those same stats. Milwaukee, on the other hand, made 13 of their 30 three pointers (43.3 percent). LaMarcus Aldridge was a key piece for San Antonio with 25 points and six rebounds. Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who contributed 40 points and nine rebounds.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. San Antonio ranks 26th in possessions per game (98.1) and Milwaukee is 27th (97.9). Moreover, the sharp-shooting offense of the Bucks ranks second in effective field goal percentage (0.558), while the Spurs are ninth-worst in the NBA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.525).
Of the Bucks’ 10 games, six have finished over the total. Milwaukee holds records of 4-6 straight up (SU) and 3-5-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Milwaukee, Spurs games have gone under the O/U total 54.5 percent of the time. Moreover, San Antonio is 7-4 SU and 6-4-1 ATS.
Pau Gasol has taken his game to another level as of late for San Antonio, averaging 10.2 points, 8.0 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 2.0 blocks over the last five games.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the most recent contest, the Bucks won 109-107. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Spurs. Milwaukee had a rate of 11.8, while San Antonio posted a mark of 12.9. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
San Antonio ranks fourth in second chance points per game (15.2) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (7.1).
The Spurs rank second in blocks per game (6.3) while the Bucks rank 14th (4.5).
Milwaukee ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (40.4) while San Antonio ranks 17th (43.1).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in assists per game (24.9) while San Antonio ranks 10th (22.7).
The Spurs rank eighth in rebounds per game (46.1) while the Bucks rank 28th (37.5).
The Bucks rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (27.2) while the Spurs rank 28th (22.6).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (5.1) while San Antonio ranks 18th (11.5).
San Antonio is 4-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Milwaukee is 1-1.
The Spurs are 6-0 when they score over 100 points, while the Bucks are 4-2.
Milwaukee is 2-2-1 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 5-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 3 of the Spurs’ 6 home games, while 4 of the Bucks’ 5 road games have gone over.
In their last five games, Milwaukee and San Antonio have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Spurs are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-3-1.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
The Bucks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 3.3 for the season.