In this National League matchup, the Nationals (45-63, 21-34 home) play host to the Brewers (58-50, 29-26 away) at Nationals Park. Taking the mound for the Nationals is MacKenzie Gore, while the Brewers will go with Wade Miley. Check out my pick for three of this Washington Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers matchup.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:05 ET on Wednesday, August 2nd.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:
- Against the runline, the Nationals have gone just 1-2 in their last three home games.
- Over their last ten games on the road, Milwaukee is 6-4 against the runline.
- In Wade Miley’s four most recent starts, the Brewers are 3-1.
CAN THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
With an overall record of 58-50, the Brewers are 2nd in the NL Central. When playing at home, they are 29-24 and 29-26. So far, Milwaukee has a record of 24-24 against below .500 teams and have played in 34 series, going 18-15-1.
Wade Miley is off to a strong start in his 2023 campaign, having gone 6-2 in 13 appearances. His ERA of 3.06 is accompanied by a K/9 of 6.12, while his FIP and OBP both stand at 4.38 and .286 respectively. The Brewers will be hoping he can continue this form as they look to make a run for the postseason.
Wade Miley earned a victory in his most recent start, allowing no earned runs and four hits over six innings against the Cincinnati Reds. The Milwaukee Brewers emerged victorious with a 1-0 scoreline.
This season, the Brewers are 23rd in the league at 4.2 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .249 (12th) leading to 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.5 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Milwaukee’s on-base percentage of .311 has them 17th in the MLB.
Christian Yelich has been one of the Milwaukee Brewers’ most potent offensive weapons in 2023. The outfielder is batting .286 with 59 RBIs and 16 home runs on the season.
WILL THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Washington heads into today’s game ranked 5th in the NL East on an overall record of 45-63. The Nationals have won three straight series at home and have an overall home record of 21-34. Against the runline, their overall record is 59-49, including going 24-31 vs. the runline at home. When looking at their over/under mark, the Nationals are 53-52.
Washington starter MacKenzie Gore has an overall record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.42 through the 2023 season. When pitching at home, his ERA is 3.66, but it jumps to 5.61 on the road. Gore’s WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) for the season is 1.45, with opposing teams batting .257 against him and slugging .425.
MacKenzie Gore was the unfortunate recipient of the loss in his most recent start against the Mets, as he gave up three runs on five hits. The Nationals were unable to overcome this deficit and ultimately fell 5-1.
Having gone deep 2 times in their last five games, the Nationals are 9th in that span. At 4.3 runs per game, Washington is 21st in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .260 while hitting a total of 94 home runs (27th).
Joey Meneses has been a consistent presence in the Washington lineup this season, boasting a .280 batting average and .404 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, Meneses has been on fire at the plate, leading the team with hits and hitting .294.