Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

Christian Yelich and the surging Milwaukee Brewers are paying a visit to San Francisco to take on the Giants at Oracle Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase this NL matchup and the action gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-135) as the favorite over San Francisco (+125). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. There’s a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+110) and Giants +1.5 (-130) for this matchup.

The Giants are 28-38 straight up (SU) and 29-37 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 18.1 units ATS. The Brewers have gone 39-29 SU this year and are 35-33 ATS. They’re up 6.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 0.8 units ATS.

San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 33-31-2 so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 30-37-1.

Zach Davies will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Davies is 7-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and two strikeouts over five innings).

The Giants will turn to lefty Drew Pomeranz (1-6, 7.16 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.75 WHIP. Pomeranz did not register a start against the Brewers in 2018.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .233/.299/.314 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Giants’ offense has been led by right fielder Steven Duggar and second baseman Joe Panik. Duggar is hitting .241/.284/.358 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored, and Panik’s line sits at .245/.318/.343 with three homers, 19 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 10.11.

The Brewers offense has slashed .253/.334/.458 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .345/.446/.749 with 25 home runs, 54 RBIs, 53 runs and 14 stolen bases. Moustakas is slashing .278/.346/.598 with 21 homers, 45 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 2.5 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 2.5 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Brewers have a total OPS of .791 this season and an OPS of .824 against left-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS sits at .656 overall and .632 against southpaws.

The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU.

Milwaukee fielders have committed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only three errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

The Brewers have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.

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