The Brewers (53-43, 27-22 away) and Phillies (52-43, 26-18 home) head into game three of this National League matchup all tied at 1-1. Corbin Burnes is scheduled to get the start for the Brewers against Taijuan Walker for the Phillies. Check out my best bet for today’s Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -119

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 12:35 ET on Thursday, July 20th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:

  • In their previous five games, the Phillies have a record of 4-1.
  • The Phillies have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • Opponents are hitting just .221 against Taijuan Walker in his last two starts.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

So far this season, Milwaukee has played in 30 series, going 16-13-1. Their current record of 53-43 is good for first place in the NL Central. On the road, the Brewers have gone 27-22 compared to 26-21 at home.

The Brewers will turn to Corbin Burnes, who has an 8-5 record in 19 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 3.73, and he has a K/9 of 9.13. Additionally, Burnes’ FIP is 4.09 and his OBP is .276.

The last time Corbin Burnes pitched, he earned a quality start and a victory for his squad, who defeated the Reds 1-0. Burnes allowed no runs and two hits in six innings of work.

Over their last five games, the Brewers are ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 3.2 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.2 per contest puts them 23rd in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Milwaukee is 17th, with an OBP currently sitting at .311. The team’s collective batting average is .231 (21st).

William Contreras has been on fire for the Brewers over their last five contests, leading the team in hits and batting .400. The catcher has been a consistent presence in the lineup this season, hitting .274 with 35 RBIs.

WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 52-43, the Phillies come into today’s game 2nd in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 26-18 and 26-25 on the road. Philadelphia has played in 30 series thus far, and have gone 17-11-2.

Taijuan Walker is having a successful 2023 campaign, boasting an 11-3 record and making his 20th appearance of the season. He has held opponents to a .225 batting average and has been especially effective on the road, where he is 6-3 with a 1.12 ERA. At home, he has been even more dominant with a 5-0 record and 2.71 ERA. For the year, teams have managed just a .376 slugging percentage against him.

Taijuan Walker earned the victory in the Phillies’ 9-4 triumph over the Padres after allowing two runs on four hits in his last start.

This season, the Phillies are 15th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .233 (15th) leading to 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 2.9 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .322 has them 10th in the MLB.

Trea Turner has been a key contributor to the Philadelphia offense this season, boasting a .249 batting average and .388 slugging percentage. Over the team’s last ten games, Turner has been on fire at the plate, leading the Phillies in hits and batting an impressive .260.