The Brewers (52-42, 26-21 away) travel to take on the Phillies (51-42, 25-17 home) in game one of this National League matchup. Julio Teheran is getting the start for the Brewers while Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown at Citizens Bank Park.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +173

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, July 18th

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:

  • In their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 7-3.
  • On the road, the Brewers have picked up five straight victories.
  • Opponents are hitting just .229 against Julio Teheran in his last five starts.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS LOOKING TO EXTEND NL CENTRAL LEAD

The Brewers enter today’s action with an overall record of 52-42, putting them in first place in the NL Central. So far, they have put together a 26-21 record at home and 26-21. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 15-13-1.

Julio Teheran has had a mixed season thus far for the Milwaukee Brewers. With an overall record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.64, Teheran’s performance has been inconsistent depending on the venue. His ERA is 4.65 on the road, but drops to 3.02 when he takes the mound at home. His WHIP stands at 1.02 and he’s limited opposing teams to a batting average of .213 against him, with

Julio Teheran was hit hard in his last start, surrendering nine hits and six earned runs in six innings of work as the Brewers defeated the Cubs 8-6.

Having gone deep 6 times in their last five games, the Brewers are 6th in that span. At 4.2 runs per game, Milwaukee is 25th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .232 while hitting a total of 101 home runs (17th).

William Contreras has been on fire for the Brewers lately, leading the team in hits over their last five games and batting an impressive .500. The catcher has had a solid season overall, hitting .272 and driving in 33 runs.

WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Phillies have put together a record of 51-42 and are 3rd in the NL East, putting them 10.5 games out of first place. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 17-11-2. On the road, they have gone 26-25 and 25-17 at home.

Aaron Nola has been a reliable starter for the Phillies this season, boasting an 8-6 record in 19 appearances. His ERA stands at 4.39, and he has a K/9 of 9.08 to go along with a FIP of 4.34 and an OBP of .270.

The Phillies were defeated by the Marlins in their last outing, with Nola on the mound. Over six innings, he gave up four earned runs on eight hits, resulting in a 7-3 loss.

This season, the Phillies are 15th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .233 (16th) leading to 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.0 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .322 has them 10th in the MLB.

Nick Castellanos leads the Phillies in hits this season, boasting a .291 batting average. His slugging percentage is .476 and on-base percentage is .332 entering the game.