The Brewers (77-62, 37-34 away) travel to take on the Yankees (70-70, 38-34 home) in game one of this interleague matchup. Colin Rea is getting the start for the Brewers while Luis Severino is starting for the Yankees. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees showdown at Yankee Stadium.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 8th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK YANKEES:

  • In their previous ten games, the Yankees are 7-3 vs. the runline.
  • The Brewers are just 1-2 vs. the runline in their last three road games.
  • The Yankees are 3-1 in Luis Severino’s last four starts.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS LOOKING TO EXTEND NL CENTRAL LEAD

For the season, the Brewers are 77-62 overall, including going 37-34 on the road and 40-28 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Milwaukee is above .500 at 24-18-2. In the NL Central, the Brewers are currently 1st.

Milwaukee’s Colin Rea has compiled a 5-5 record in 2023, with an ERA of 5.07. His ERA is lower on the road (4.73) than at home (6.43). Rea’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .238 against him with a slugging percentage of .444.

Colin Rea’s latest start against the Phillies saw him surrender two runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings. Despite not earning a win or loss, the Brewers emerged victorious, 7-5.

Over their last five games, the Brewers are ranked 14th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.4 per contest puts them 18th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Milwaukee is 14th, with an OBP currently sitting at .315. The team’s collective batting average is .236 (21st).

Christian Yelich leads the Brewers in hits this season, boasting a .274 batting average. He has also recorded a .436 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .363.

WILL THE NEW YORK YANKEES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Yankees head into today’s game looking to build on their above .500 record at home (38-34). Their overall record of 70-70 has them placed 5th in the AL East. Through 45 series, the Yankees are 18-20-7.

Luis Severino has had a difficult season thus far with the Yankees, boasting an overall record of 4-8 in 18 appearances. His ERA stands at 6.75, while his K/9 is 7.8 and FIP is 6.18. Opponents have been able to get on base against him at a .350 clip.

In his most recent outing against the Astros, Luis Severino was unable to factor in the decision, but his four innings of work were still enough to help the Yankees secure a 5-4 victory. The right-hander allowed four runs on six hits in the contest.

This season, the Yankees are 21st in the league at 4.2 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .241 (20th) leading to 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.3 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. New York’s on-base percentage of .304 has them 19th in the MLB.

Aaron Judge is the Yankees’ home-run leader in 2023, with 31 long balls and 58 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season is a robust .613.