Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Free Pick 06/11/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-11

Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros will play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will be airing this interleague matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Odds

Milwaukee (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Houston (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. There’s a runline of Brewers +1.5 (-175) and Astros -1.5 (+155) for this matchup.

The Brewers have gone 38-28 SU this year and are 34-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 45-22 SU and 37-30 ATS. They’ve gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS.

Houston games have a 28-38-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Milwaukee has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 28-37-1.

Right-hander Freddy Peralta is getting the start for Milwaukee. Peralta is 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Brad Peacock (5-3, 3.20 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 1.07 WHIP. Peacock did not record a start against the Brewers in 2018.

Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.52 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Houston’s offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .200/.286/.343 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick have led the Astros’ offense this year. Brantley is hitting .317/.374/.512 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Reddick is hitting .312 with seven homers, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.58 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.39, along with a K-per-9 of 10.15.

Brewers hitters have slashed .254/.336/.454 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .340/.446/.745 with 24 home runs, 53 RBIs, 50 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is slashing .254/.314/.371 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 40 runs and six steals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Milwaukee has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Houston has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 13 over their last 10.

The Brewers have an OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .785 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .816 overall and .797 versus righties.

The Milwaukee defense has coughed up 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only three errors for Houston over its last 10.

The Astros have won three of their last four games SU.

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