The MLB show continues on Saturday, September 24 when we have 15 games on the schedule, including this must-win game for Milwaukee, so here you can get the best Brewers vs. Reds betting pick and odds.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati will play the third of a four-game series at Great American Ball Park, and the Brewers are -210 moneyline favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 8 runs. These NL Central foes have met 15 times this year, before this series, and the Brewers lead 10-5. Milwaukee also won Game 1 of this series, while Game 2 will be played on Friday night.
Brewers beat the Reds thanks to Kolten Wong
The Milwaukee Brewers opened this series against the Cincinnati Reds with a 5-1 victory and have to continue in the same fashion to stay alive in the wildcard race. The San Diego Padres, Philadelphia Phillies, and Milwaukee are battling for those two available places, and the Brewers are in the worst position at the moment. That’s why they cannot afford to lose a single game of the series with the Reds.
Kolten Wong blasted three home runs and scored all five RBIs for the Brewers in this win, which was a blessing for Milwaukee, considering both teams recorded only four hits in a low-scoring affair. Brandon Woodruff improved to a 12-4 record after allowing a run on three hits with season-high 11 strikeouts and two walks in 6.0 innings. It was Woodruff’s third consecutive game with 10+ strikeouts.
Corbin Burnes (10-8) is getting his 31st start of the year when he meets Cincinnati on Saturday. The 27-year-old right-hander owns a rock-solid 3.12 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 223/48 K/BB ratio across 184.2 innings of work.
Reds couldn’t handle red-hit Wong
The Cincinnati Reds lost 11 of their previous 14 games and lost a series to the Brewers, Pirates, and Cardinals, before splitting a two-game series with the Red Sox. Cincy is already looking at the next season and is not expected to pose a bigger threat to the Brewers in the current series, but will be hoping to stay above Pittsburgh in the NL Central standings.
Kyle Farmer hit a homer in the 6th innings, which was all we saw from the Reds’ offense in a 5-1 home defeat to the Brewers. Hunter Greene (4-13) took a loss after surrendering two runs on two hits with eight strikeouts and three walks over 5.0 innings.
Graham Ashcraft (5-3) will take the mound for the 17th time this year when he faces Milwaukee on Saturday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a respectable 3.97 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 64/23 K/BB ratio in 93.0 innings.
- 4-1 in the last five vs. National League Central rivals
- 4-0 in the last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
- 5-2 in the last seven games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
- 3-11 in the last 14 overall
- 2-10 in the last 12 vs. National League Central opponents
- 2-10 in the last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick
Milwaukee is trailing three wins behind the Padres and two behind the Phillies, and they mustn’t lose this game against the Reds. The Brewers’ remaining schedule is rather good for them as they have nine home games to finish the regular season. Corbin Burnes faced the Reds only once this year and was great with a 1.50 ERA over 6.0 innings. Ashcraft, on the other hand, struggled against Milwaukee in his two starts (0-1) in which he registered a 5.91 ERA. The Brewers are way better against right-handed pitchers (4.88 runs) than against southpaws (3.90), so I am backing them to get a comfortable win in this one.
Pick: Take the Brewers at -1.5 Run Line (-110)
Burnes allowed five runs in his recent start against the Mets, and I am backing him to bounce back and display a much better performance on Saturday. Ashcraft surrendered three runs in each of his last two starts against the Pirates and Cubs, and although I think the Brewers will score multiple runs off him here, I don’t expect a high-scoring tilt. Under is 6-1 in the Brewers’ last seven road games vs. a right-handed starter; Under is 6-0 in the Reds’ previous six overall, while Under is 4-0 in Cincinnati’s last four games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pick: Go Under 8.5 runs (-120)