Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 05/19/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-19

Freddie Freeman and the streaking Atlanta Braves will go for their fifth win in a row when they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets going at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Odds

Milwaukee (getting -125) is favored over Atlanta (+115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. There’s a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+120) and Braves +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.

The Brewers are 27-21 SU and have gone 24-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having lost 1.9 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 25-21 SU and 22-23 ATS. They’ve lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.3 units ATS.

Atlanta games have a 24-18-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 19-27-1.

Brandon Woodruff is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Woodruff (6-1, 3.72 ERA) has racked up 59 strikeouts in 48.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves will send righty Mike Foltynewicz (0-3, 8.02 ERA) to the mound. Foltynewicz has 14 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 1.59. Foltynewicz only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (0-1, 7.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

Atlanta’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.25, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

Atlanta’s offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .294/.395/.509 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Braves’ batters have been led by Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .314/.406/.566 with 10 home runs, 28 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.22 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 9.79.

The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.335/.430 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by Lorenzo Cain. Cain is slashing .274/.333/.416 with four home runs, 19 RBIs, 32 runs and five stolen bases.

The Braves just snuck away with the previous game in this series by a final score of four runs to three.

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

The Brewers have a total OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .761 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .789 overall and .773 against righties.

The Milwaukee defense has allowed 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Atlanta over its last 10.

The Braves have won seven of their last eight games SU.

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