Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Betting Pick 06/18/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-18

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Odds

The Brewers are 40-32 SU and are 36-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 1.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 36-37 SU and 30-42 ATS. They’ve lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 18.6 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Padres games have a 36-31-5 over/under record so far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 31-37-3.

The right-handed Brandon Woodruff will get the start for Milwaukee. Woodruff is 8-1 with a 3.87 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are looking to see what Logan Allen can do against major-league hitters. This will be the first MLB start of the year for the lefty Allen.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .338/.400/.593 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ batters this year. Hosmer is slashing .286/.341/.446 with 10 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .264/.346/.464 with 14 homers, 40 RBIs and 42 runs.

For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.74 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.71 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K-per-9 of 10.04.

The Brewers offense has slashed .252/.333/.452 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .342/.441/.742 with 26 home runs, 57 RBIs, 56 runs and 16 stolen bases. Moustakas (.280/.349/.584) has produced 21 homers, 45 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 0.0 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 4.6 units and are 23-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

Milwaukee has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has 29 XBH over its last five.

The Brewers have a team OPS of .786 this season, including an OPS of .800 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .728 overall and .750 against southpaws.

San Diego has recorded 26.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 36.8 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

MLB Power LinesView all

(901) SAN DIEGO @ (902) MIAMI | 12:10 pm 7/18/2019

Play Line: MIAMI 122
BTB PowerLine: MIAMI -109

Edge On: MIAMI 31Bet Now
(903) LA DODGERS @ (904) PHILADELPHIA | 12:35 pm 7/18/2019

Play Line: LA DODGERS 100
BTB PowerLine: LA DODGERS -110

Edge On: LA DODGERS 10Bet Now
(913) CHI WHITE SOX @ (914) KANSAS CITY | 1:15 pm 7/18/2019

Play Line: CHI WHITE SOX 144
BTB PowerLine: CHI WHITE SOX +118

Edge On: CHI WHITE SOX 26Bet Now