The Blue Raiders and Hilltoppers are set to face off at 3:00 ET on CBSS. The Hilltoppers will host the game at Von Braun Center in Huntsville, AL. The odds for this Conference USA conference game currently have Western Kentucky as the -5.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 147.5 points.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS VS WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -5.5

This game will be played at Von Braun Center at 3:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.

WHY BET THE WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Hilltoppers.
  • Not only will Western Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Middle Tennessee?

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee State’s record stands at 4-13 this season. They have gone 2-12 on the road, with an average scoring margin of -15.9 points per game. In their last game, they defeated Louisiana Tech by a score of 70-67.

For the season, the Blue Raiders have gone 13-18, including an 8-9 mark in Conference USA. Over their last ten games on the road, they have gone 2-8. So far, they have been the underdog in 17 of their 31 games.

As the underdog this season, Middle Tennessee has a 4-13 record vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-12. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Raiders have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 13-15-2. Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (135). So far, 25 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 139 points.

In their most recent game, the Blue Raiders’ offense tallied 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 66 points per game. The Middle Tennessee offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 31% of their looks from outside this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Middle Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 69.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.2% this season.

Can the Hilltoppers Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Western Kentucky is 10-4 at home this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. So far, they have been favored in 17 of their 30 games, going 11-6 in those games. They come into this game with a record of 19-11 overall.

On the road, the Hilltoppers have gone 7-7 this season, and they have a road average scoring margin of +1.9 points per game. They have lost three straight games on the road.

Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 17-11 this season, including a mark of 8-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hilltoppers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Western Kentucky’s over/under record this season sits at 14-14. The average scoring total in their games is 154 points, which is 2.9 points higher than the average over/under line of 151.1. Today’s over/under line is 147.5. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 161 points.

Western Kentucky recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 89 points against New Mexico State. This output exceeded their season average of 80.5 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Donald McHenry who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.8. Brandon Newman also heads into the game with a PPG average of 10.2.

Coming into today’s game, the Western Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 74.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Middle Tennessee, the Western Kentucky defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Western Kentucky made 23 free-throws vs. the Hilltoppers.