The Blue Raiders and Bearkats are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPNU. The Bearkats will host the game at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum in Huntsville, TX. The over/under for this Conference USA conference contest is set at 136.5 points, with Sam Houston State being favored by -8.5 at home against Middle Tennessee.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +8.5

This game will be played at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Bearkats.
  • Even though we have Sam Houston State winning straight-up, we like Middle Tennessee at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Blue Raiders Grab a Win in Huntsville?

As a road underdog this season, Middle Tennessee State has gone 2-11, and their average scoring margin on the road is -17.7 points per game. They are 1-10 on the road this season, and their last three road games have resulted in a 1-2 record.

Coming off a two-point win over Western Kentucky, the Blue Raiders have gone 12-16 overall this season, including a 6-7 mark in Conference USA action. They have gone 6-9 in non-conference games, and their record as the underdog is 2-11.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has gone just 2-11 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Blue Raiders have an ATS mark of 1-10 and are 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. However, they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 10-14-2, and today’s line of 136.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (134.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points, and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-2-1.

Middle Tennessee recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 74 points against Western Kentucky. This output exceeded their season average of 65.7 points per game. Leading Middle Tennessee in scoring vs. Western Kentucky was Jared Coleman-Jones with his 20 points. Jestin Porter also added 19 points for the Blue Raiders.

At this time, the Blue Raiders’ defense is positioned 94th in the country, permitting 69.3 points per game. The Middle Tennessee defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 72 points and allowed Western Kentucky to connect on 10 threes.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Sam Houston State?

Sam Houston State has been dominant at home this season, going 9-2 with an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game. The Bearkats have won seven straight games at home, and they are 12-3 as the favorite this season.

Overall, Sam Houston State has a record of 17-11, and they have won four straight games. They are 10-3 in Conference USA games, and their last game was a 65-54 win over UTEP.

As the favorite this season, Sam Houston State has gone 9-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bearkats are 5-5. At home, they have an ATS mark of 6-5 this year and are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Sam Houston State’s games this year (140.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points, and their OU record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

Compared to their season average of 71.6 points per game, Sam Houston State struggled in their previous game. Against UTEP, the Bearkats scored 65 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7%. Cameron Huefner led the scoring for the Bearkats, contributing 14 points. Additionally, Davon Barnes chipped in with 12 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Sam Houston State defense is giving up an average of 69.8 points per contest. So far, the Sam Houston State defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (671st).