The Blue Raiders and Bulldogs are set to face off at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs will host the game at Thomas Assembly Center in Ruston, LA. This Conference USA conference matchup has an over/under of 132.5 points, and Louisiana Tech is favored to win by -14 at home vs. Middle Tennessee.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +14

This game will be played at Thomas Assembly Center at 3:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Louisiana Tech winning straight-up, we like Middle Tennessee at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Blue Raiders Have a Shot at a Road Win?

As a road underdog this season, Middle Tennessee has gone 3-12. On the road this season, the Blue Raiders have gone 1-11, and they are coming off a 69-61 win over Liberty.

This season, Middle Tennessee has gone 7-8 in Conference USA games, and overall, they are 13-17. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Blue Raiders have gone 1-9.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has gone just 3-12 vs. the spread this season. However, they have posted a 2-1 ATS mark as the underdog in their last three games and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as the underdog. On the road, the Blue Raiders are only 1-11 ATS this year and have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 11-15-2. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 132.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

In their recent game, the Blue Raiders’ offense concluded with 69 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 65.8 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Jestin Porter, who is averaging 13.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Elias King also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 heading into game.

At this time, the Blue Raiders’ defense is positioned 105th in the country, permitting 69.4 points per game. Middle Tennessee will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Liberty to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.

Will Louisiana Tech Find a Way to Win at Home?

After losing their most recent game, the Bulldogs now have an overall record of 21-9. They have been especially strong at home this season, going 10-2 compared to their 8-7 record on the road. Louisiana Tech has been favored in 20 of their 30 games, going 16-4 in those matchups.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2. So far this season, their average scoring margin at home is +9.1 points per game.

As the favorite, Louisiana Tech has gone 12-8 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS record is 6-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Louisiana Tech games is 13-14 and today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (137.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

Louisiana Tech offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 66 points against Sam Houston State. In that game, they made 3/15 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42.1%. The team’s top scorer is Isaiah Crawford, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.4, while Tahlik Chavez also carries a PPG average of 13.7 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Louisiana Tech defense is giving up an average of 64.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.5% this season.