The Blue Raiders and Gamecocks are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Gamecocks will host the game at Pete Mathews Coliseum in Jacksonville, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 130.5 points, and Jacksonville State is favored by -6.5 to win at home against Middle Tennessee.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +6.5

This game will be played at Pete Mathews Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Gamecocks.
  • Even though we have Jacksonville State winning straight-up, we like Middle Tennessee at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Blue Raiders Offense Score Enough on the Road?

After winning their last three games, Middle Tennessee will look to keep the momentum going as they take on Jacksonville State. So far this season, the Blue Raiders have gone 11-15, including a 5-6 mark in Conference USA action. On the road, Middle Tennessee is just 1-9, and their average scoring margin away from home is -18.7 points per game.

As the underdog, the Blue Raiders have gone 1-10 this year, and they are 1-4 in their last five road games. Most recently, Middle Tennessee took down UTEP by a score of 96-90.

As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has struggled against the spread this season, going just 1-10. Their overall ATS mark is 8-16 and they are 1-9 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Raiders have a 1-9 ATS record.

So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee is 9-13-2. The average over/under line in their games is 134.4 and today’s line is 130.5. This year, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points.

Middle Tennessee is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 96 points vs. UTEP. This figure is more than their season average of 65.3 points per game. Coming into the game, the Blue Raiders offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 23.2 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 12.5 made free-throws.

Currently, the Blue Raiders’ defense holds the 96th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. Middle Tennessee’s three-point defense is currently 23rd in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.2% of their shots vs. Middle Tennessee.

Can Jacksonville State Lock in a Home Win?

After losing their last game to Louisiana Tech by a score of 63-58, Jacksonville State comes into this game with a 12-14 record, including a 6-5 record at home this season. They have gone 4-7 in Conference USA games and 8-7 in non-conference games. So far, the Gamecocks have gone 6-4 when favored and 4-10 when they are the underdog.

Over their last 10 games at home, Jacksonville State has gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five home games. On the season, their average scoring margin at home is +5.5, compared to -0.5 on the road. They have lost their last two games and are 4-9 on the road this season.

As the favorite this season, the Gamecocks have gone 5-5 vs. the spread. Their ATS record at home is 5-6 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5. In their last three home games, Jacksonville State is 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Jacksonville State games is 9-15. Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (135.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points, which is lower than their season average of 132.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 6-4.

Compared to their season average of 69.9 points per game, Jacksonville State struggled in their previous game. Against Louisiana Tech, the Gamecocks scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39.6%. In terms of offense, the Gamecocks have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 150th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 337th in percentage and 345th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Gamecocks’ defense holds the 25th rank in the nation, allowing 64.9 points per game. Against Louisiana Tech in their most recent game, the Jacksonville State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing Louisiana Tech to hit 40% of their shots.