Home College Football College Football Free Picks Middle Tennessee at Charlotte College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

Middle Tennessee at Charlotte College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

A couple of teams that like to run the football, Coach Rick Stockstill and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-3) are ready to pay a visit to the Charlotte 49ers at Jerry Richardson Stadium. This conference game will start at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN 3.

Middle Tennessee at Charlotte Betting Odds 11/2/2019

Middle Tennessee is giving up 3 points in this CUSA matchup. The Blue Raiders are currently getting -155 moneyline odds while the 49ers are +135. The over/under is set at 61 points. If one team can catch a lucky break early, it would likely generate a worthy in-game betting opportunity.

Odds have moved slightly from where they initially opened. The line opened at 2.5 and the game’s total was set originally at 60.5.

The Blue Raiders are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against CUSA opponents. The 49ers are 3-5 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play. The Blue Raiders have lost 0.3 units so far in 2019 and are 4-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 6-2.

The 49ers are down 1.4 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 7-1.

When these two teams met a year ago, Middle Tennessee earned the win 21-13.

The Blue Raiders are looking to keep things going after a solid 50-17 win over FIU last week. Asher O’Hara completed just six-of-12 passes for 25 yards and one touchdown. O’Hara (159 yards on 22 rush attempts, two TDs) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Brad Anderson (30 yards on 10 carries). Jimmy Marshall (two receptions, 11 yards, one TD) and Anderson (two catches, seven yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Charlotte enters this one having just earned a 39-38 win over North Texas. Chris Reynolds completed 24-of-32 passes for 336 yards and three touchdowns. Benny LeMay (155 rushing yards on 30 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Reynolds (96 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the running game while Victor Tucker (10 receptions, 140 yards, one TD) and Cameron Dollar (six catches, 27 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Middle Tennessee’s run the ball on 50.6 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 53.4 percent across possessions in conference play. Charlotte has a run percentage of 59.7 percent, and has rushed the ball 55.6 percent of the time against CUSA opponents. The Blue Raiders have run for 180 yards per game (including 229 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Niners are averaging 206 rushing yards per contest (152 in conference) and have 17 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Niners could hold an edge when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has given up only 14 sacks while the D-line has logged 26 sacks. The Blue Raiders offensive line has given up 17 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss on just six occasions.

The Blue Raiders have tallied 227 yards/game through the air overall (219 per game against conference opposition) and have 12 passing TDs so far. The Niners have produced 209 pass yards per outing (233.3 in the CUSA) and have 17 total pass scores.

Middle Tennessee has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 205 yards and pass for 269 yards per game. Charlotte has allowed 199.5 rushing yards per game and 220.8 to opponents in the air. The Blue Raiders are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.55 to opponents, while the Niners have given up an 8.12 ANY/A.

O’Hara is up to 1,516 passing yards this year, and has completed 125-of-195 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and five interceptions. O’Hara has a 6.71 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.98 over the past two games.

We’re looking for Blue Raiders to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. In addition to Asher O’Hara (zero receiving yards), Terelle West (172 rush yards, three rush TDs) and Jayy McDonald (185 rush yards, one rush TD) have been focal points in the Middle Tennessee offense.

In the other huddle, Chris Reynolds has tallied 1,288 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs. Reynolds’ ANY/A stands at 8.24 for the season and 8.81 across his past two outings.

The Niners will also try to control the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Benny LeMay (190 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), Victor Tucker (386 receiving yards and four receiving TDs) and Chris Reynolds (285 rush yards, four rush TDs) have gotten quite a few touches recently.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Charlotte 49ers Betting Pick

SU Winner – Middle Tennessee, ATS Winner – Middle Tennessee, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The Charlotte defense has recorded 26 sacks on the year while Middle Tennessee has just six.

Both offenses have lost two fumbles this year.

The Blue Raiders offense has registered four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the 49ers have put up five such plays.

The Middle Tennessee defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Charlotte has given up 10 such plays.

The Middle Tennessee offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Charlotte has created 17 such runs.

The Blue Raiders defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the 49ers have given up 13 such runs.

The O/U for Charlotte’s last match was 65. The over cashed in that 39-38 victory over North Texas.

In its last three matches, Charlotte is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

In its last three matches, Middle Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Middle Tennessee’s last game was 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 50-17 triumph over FIU.

Middle Tennessee has averaged 6.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 7.6 over its last two.

Charlotte has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its last two.

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