The Wolverines and Scarlet Knights are set to face off at 8:30 ET on FS1. The Scarlet Knights will host the game at Jersey Mike’s Arena in Piscataway, NJ. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 137.5 points, and Rutgers is favored to win by -7 at home vs. Michigan.


The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +7

This game will be played at Jersey Mike’s Arena at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Scarlet Knights.
  • Even though we have Rutgers winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Wolverines Grab a Win in Piscataway?

Michigan enters this game as a 7-point underdog, and they have struggled on the road this season, going just 2-8. Over their last 10 road games, the Wolverines are 2-8, and they have lost five straight games overall.

On the year, Michigan is 8-20, and they are 3-14 in Big Ten play. In their most recent game, the Wolverines fell to Purdue by a score of 84-76.

Michigan has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 7-20 ATS mark. On the road, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines are just 2-8 ATS.

The over/under record for Michigan games this season is 15-12, and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.2). So far, 23 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their recent matchup, the Michigan offense ended with 76 points against Purdue. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.3% and made 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Olivier Nkamhoua, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.8, while Dug McDaniel also carries a PPG average of 16.7 into the game.

The Wolverines’ defense is presently ranked 302nd nationally, allowing an average of 79.0 points per contest. Against Purdue in their most recent game, the Michigan defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing Purdue to hit 48% of their shots.

Can the Scarlet Knights Hold Strong at Home?

After losing their last game to Maryland by a score of 63-46, Rutgers will look to get back on track as they host Michigan as 7-point favorites. On the season, the Scarlet Knights have gone 11-6 at home, compared to 3-7 on the road.

So far, Rutgers has gone 14-13 overall, including a 6-10 mark in Big Ten play. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Rutgers has gone just 6-8 against the spread. Their home ATS mark is currently 8-9 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Scarlet Knights have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Rutgers games is 9-18, and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (136.8). So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 141 points per game compared to their season average of 132.6 points per game.

Rutgers offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 46 points against Maryland. In that game, they made 2/11 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 37%. In terms of offense, the Scarlet Knights have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, putting them 395th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 385th in percentage and 336th in three-pointers made.

Rutgers’ defense has been playing well, ranking 43rd nationally, with 66.4 points allowed per game. In today’s game, the Rutgers defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 2 three-pointers while giving up 63 points.