Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wolverines versus the Boilermakers? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on PEAC. The game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points, and the Boilermakers are favored to win at home vs. the Wolverines.
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +17
This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.
WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Boilermakers.
- Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +17.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will Michigan Win on the Road?
Michigan comes into this game as a 17-point underdog, and they have gone 2-5 in Big Ten play this season. They are 7-11 overall, and they have lost two straight games. On the road, the Wolverines have gone 2-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is +2.0 points per game.
In their last game, Michigan lost to Illinois by a score of 88-73. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Wolverines have gone 3-7, and they have gone 2-5 as the underdog this season.
Michigan’s ATS record this season is just 5-12, including a mark of 2-5 vs. the spread when they are the underdog. On the road, the Wolverines are 2-3 ATS this year and have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games as the road team.
Michigan’s over/under record for the season is 11-6 and the average scoring total in their games is 156.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (149.8). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 139 points compared to their season average of 156.7 points per game. So far this year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 152.5.
In contrast to their season average of 79.3 points per game, the Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 73 points against Illinois and had a field goal percentage of 47.6%. The Michigan offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 37% of their looks from outside this season.
Looking at the Michigan defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.6 points per game (273rd). The Michigan defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 88 points and allowed Illinois to connect on 3 threes.
Will the Boilermakers Make it Happen at Home?
Entering tonight’s game against Michigan, Purdue has been nearly unbeatable at home this season. The Boilermakers are 12-0 at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +21.3 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, Purdue has gone a perfect 10-0.
Overall, Purdue is 17-2 this season, and they have won three straight games. Their most recent win came against Iowa, as they were victorious by a score of 84-70. For the season, Purdue has been the favorite in 18 of their 19 games, and they have gone 16-2 in those contests.
Against the spread, Purdue has gone 11-6-2 this season. At home, they are 7-4-1 vs. the spread and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
This season, the over/under record for Purdue is 13-6. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 154.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (148.9). Currently, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 159 points.
Purdue’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 84 points against Iowa. They had an overall field goal percentage of 44.8% and made 15/21 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Zach Edey, who holds an average of 23.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Lance Jones is averaging 11.9 points per game this season.
The Boilermakers’ defense is presently ranked 104th nationally, allowing an average of 69.4 points per contest. So far, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 7.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (521st).