The Wolverines and Nittany Lions are set to face off at 12:00 ET on BTN. The Nittany Lions will host the game at The Palestra in Philadelphia, PA. The Wolverines are the favored team in this Big Ten conference contest against the Nittany Lions. The game’s over/under currently sits at 153.5 points.
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +4
This game will be played at The Palestra at 12:00 ET on Sunday, January 7th.
WHY BET THE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Nittany Lions.
- Not only will Penn State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can the Wolverines Offense Score Enough in Philadelphia?
Michigan comes into today’s game favored by 4 points and are 3-5 when favored this season. So far, the Wolverines have gone 2-1 on the road and have an average scoring margin of +7.7 points per game away from home.
Overall, Michigan is 6-8 on the season and have lost three straight games. In their last game, the Wolverines fell to Minnesota by a score of 73-71. Over their last ten road games, Michigan is just 4-6.
Michigan’s ATS record this season is 4-9, but they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 road games, the Wolverines have gone 7-3 ATS. However, they have not fared well vs. the spread this season when favored, going just 2-6.
Michigan’s over/under record this season is 10-3, and the average scoring total in their games is 160.9. So far, their over/under line is 10.5 points lower than the average scoring total in their games. Today’s over/under line is 153.5, and their average scoring total in their last three games is 170 points.
In contrast to their season average of 82.3 points per game, the Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 71 points against Minnesota and had a field goal percentage of 41.4%. In terms of offense, the Wolverines have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 69th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 67th in percentage and 45th in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Wolverines’ defense holds the 284th rank in the nation, allowing 78.6 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Penn State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 36.1%.
Can the Nittany Lions Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
Heading into today’s matchup, Penn State is the underdog with a point spread of +4. So far this season, the Nittany Lions have an overall record of 7-7 and are 7-2 at home.
In their last game, Penn State faced Michigan State and lost by a score of 92-61. Over their last ten games at home, the Nittany Lions are 8-2.
As the underdog this season, Penn State has gone 2-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Nittany Lions have a solid 6-3-1 ATS mark. At home this year, Penn State is 4-5 vs. the spread, including a 1-2 ATS mark in their last three home games.
This season, the over/under record for Penn State is 8-5-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 143.1 and their games have averaged 148.1 points. Today’s over/under line is set at 153.5. This year, 14 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 144 points.
Penn State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Michigan State. In that game, they made 3/29 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 32.3%. The Penn State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 30% of their looks from outside this season.
Currently, the Nittany Lions’ defense holds the 168th rank in the nation, allowing 71.9 points per game. In their most recent game, the Penn State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Michigan State knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 92 points.