The Wolverines and Wildcats are set to face off at 9:00 ET on FS1. The Wildcats will host the game at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, IL. The over/under for this Big Ten conference contest is set at 140 points, with Northwestern being favored by -12 at home against Michigan.


The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +12

This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Northwestern winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Are the Wolverines Ready for a Road Win?

This will be the 27th game of the season for Michigan, who currently hold an 8-18 overall record. Over their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Michigan has gone 2-8. In terms of their ATS performance, Michigan has a subpar record sitting below .500 at 6-19. When playing away games, the Wolverines are 2-7 vs. the spread, while at home they are 4-12 ATS.

Michigan’s games have, on average, featured 153.8 points per game leading to an over/under record of 14-11-0. Their average over/under line is currently 149.4 points so far. When analyzing the Wolverines’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 141 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

In their most recent game, the Michigan offense put up just 63 points vs. the Michigan State Spartans. Overall, they are now averaging 75.2 points per game which is 159th in the country. The top scorer for the Wolverines was Tarris Reed Jr. with 15 points, while Dug McDaniel also chipped in with 13 points.

At present, the Wolverines’ defense is nationally ranked 310th, allowing 78.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Michigan’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.3% this season.

Taking a Look at the Wildcats Chances at Home

Following their recent victory over Indiana, Northwestern’s overall record now stands at 18-8. In away games, the Wildcats have a 3-7 record, while they have managed to compile a 15-1 record at home. As of now, Northwestern holds a 13-11-2 record against the spread heading into today’s matchup. In their previous five games, the team is 3-2 vs. the spread.

Northwestern’s games have, on average, featured 144 points per game leading to an over/under record of 17-9-0. Their average over/under line is currently 137.2 points so far. The Wildcats’ last five games have culminated with an average of 138 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.

In their recent game, the Wildcats’ offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.4 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Boo Buie, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19, while Brooks Barnhizer also carries a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 112nd rank in the nation, allowing 69.6 points per game. Against Indiana in their most recent game, the Northwestern defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Indiana to hit 50% of their shots.