The Wolverines and Terrapins are set to face off at 7:00 ET on FS1. The Terrapins will host the game at XFINITY Center in College Park, MD. The over/under for this game is set at 140 points, and the Terrapins are the home favorites against the Wolverines in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Maryland Terrapins -5.5

This game will be played at XFINITY Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Terrapins.
  • Not only will Maryland pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Are Michigan Ready for a Road Win?

Michigan enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and the Wolverines have gone 2-3 when listed as the underdog this season. They are 6-9 overall and have lost four straight games, including a 79-73 loss to Penn State in their most recent game.

On the road, Michigan has gone 2-2 this season, and their average scoring margin in road games is +4.2. Over their last 10 road games, the Wolverines are 4-6.

Michigan’s ATS record this season is just 4-10, but they have been better vs. the spread on the road (2-2) than at home (2-8). Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines have gone 6-4. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-3 over their last 10 games.

Michigan’s over/under record this season sits at 10-4 and today’s line of 140 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 150.6. So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s number. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points, which is slightly lower than their season average of 160.3.

In contrast to their season average of 81.7 points per game, the Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 73 points against Penn State and had a field goal percentage of 50%. The Michigan offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 37% of their looks from outside this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Michigan defense is giving up an average of 78.7 points per contest. So far, the Michigan defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (637th).

Will the Terrapins Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

After a two-game losing streak, Maryland is 9-6 overall and 1-3 in the Big Ten. The Terrapins are 8-2 at home this season and have an average scoring margin of +13.6 points per game.

So far, Maryland has been the favorite in 10 of its 15 games, going 8-2 in those matchups. The Terrapins’ last game was a 65-62 loss to Minnesota.

As the favorite this season, Maryland has gone just 3-7 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Terps are also just 3-7 vs. the spread. At home this year, Maryland has an ATS mark of 3-7 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

Today’s over/under line is set at 140 points for Maryland’s game against Michigan. So far this season, the over/under record for the Terrapins is 4-11. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points compared to an average over/under line of 135.9 across their games this season.

The Maryland offense is coming off a game in which they scored 62 points vs. Minnesota. Overall their field goal percentage was 38% while connecting on 4 threes. Leading Maryland in scoring vs. Minnesota was Jahmir Young with his 20 points. Julian Reese also added 14 points for the Terrapins.

So far, the Terrapins’ defense is ranked 28th in the country at 63.7 points per contest. Maryland’s three-point defense is currently 33rd in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Maryland.