Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Wolverines and Fighting Illini. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on PEAC, and it’s hosted by the Fighting Illini at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 153.5 points, and Illinois is favored by -15.5 vs. Michigan in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +15.5

This game will be played at State Farm Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Even though we have Illinois winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +15.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Wolverines Defense Show Up on the Road?

Michigan heads into tonight’s game against Illinois as a 15.5-point underdog. The Wolverines are 3-8 this season when they are the underdog.

Michigan has struggled on the road this season, as they are just 2-6. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Wolverines are 2-8.

As the underdog this season, Michigan has gone just 3-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-6 and they are 0-3 in their last three road games vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record this year is 6-17.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Michigan’s games this season (149.4). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 135 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Michigan offense tallied 59 points in a matchup against Nebraska. Their field goal percentage for the game was 32.3%, and they made 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Olivier Nkamhoua who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15. Dug McDaniel also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.8.

Looking at the Michigan defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.4 points per game (301st). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Michigan’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.6% this season.

Is a Home Win Possible for Illinois?

Illinois comes into this game as the favorite, with a record of 15-3 when favored and a scoring margin of +15.5 at home. The Fighting Illini have gone 13-2 at home this season and have won their last three games at home.

Illinois has an overall record of 17-6 and is 8-4 in Big Ten play. Over their last 10 games at home, the Fighting Illini have gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 in their last five games at home.

At home this season, Illinois has gone just 6-8-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, they have gone just 1-2 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 15-8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 166 points and their over/under record in their last three games is 3-0. So far this year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 153.5.

The Fighting Illini’s offense finished with 80 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 82.4 points per contest. Marcus Domask is leading the team in scoring at 15.5 points per contest. Terrence Shannon Jr. has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 20.5 going into the game.

At this time, the Fighting Illini’s defense is positioned 128th in the country, permitting 70.4 points per game. Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 57th in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. Illinois.