Betting on today’s Spartans and Boilermakers game? Catch the action at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, as the Boilermakers hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on BTN. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 143 points, and Purdue is favored to win by -7.5 at home vs. Michigan State.


The Pick: Michigan State Spartans +7.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 12:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Boilermakers.
  • Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Michigan State at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Spartans Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Michigan State enters tonight’s game as a 7.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-5 in seven games as the underdog this season. The Spartans are 18-13 overall, including an 11-10 record in Big Ten games. They have gone 3-7 on the road this season and are coming off a 77-67 win over Minnesota.

Michigan State’s average scoring margin on the road this season is -2.9 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Spartans have gone 3-7, and they are currently on a two-game road losing streak. On the season, Michigan State has been the underdog in seven games, and they have gone 2-5 in those games.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 18-14 this season and is 5-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Spartans have gone 4-3 vs. the spread this year and are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-1 in their last 3 games and 3-2 in their last 5.

Today’s over/under line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in Michigan State games this season (141.8). Their over/under record is 14-18 this season, and in their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 124 points.

In their recent game, the Spartans’ offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.5 points per contest. Offensively, the Spartans hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 98th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 71st in terms of percentage and 280th in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Michigan State defense has been performing well, ranking 30th in the country at 65.9 points allowed per contest. Michigan State’s three-point defense is currently 167th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. Michigan State.

Can the Boilermakers Secure a Win at Home?

Entering today’s game against Michigan State, Purdue is a perfect 19-0 at home this season, and they have won their last 19 games at home. On the year, they have gone 28-3, including a 17-3 mark in Big Ten play. Purdue’s average scoring margin at home this season is +19.3 points per game.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Boilermakers have gone 10-0, and they are coming off a 78-70 win over Wisconsin. So far this season, Purdue has been favored in 29 of their 31 games, going 26-3 in those contests.

As the favorite, Purdue has struggled against the spread this season, going just 14-13-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of just 3-7. Their ATS record at home this season is 10-8-1 and over their last 3 games at home, they are just 1-2 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in Purdue games is 20-10-1 with an average scoring total of 154.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 143 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (148.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points compared to the season average of 154.4 points per game.

The Purdue offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Wisconsin. Overall their field goal percentage was 49.1% while connecting on 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Zach Edey, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 24.2, while Braden Smith also carries a PPG average of 13 into the game.

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 120th in the country at 70.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.1% this season.