Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Spartans and Hoosiers. The game is starting at 4:30 ET on CBS, and it’s hosted by the Hoosiers at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN. Get ready to place your bets! In this Big Ten matchup, Michigan State is favored by -3.5 vs. Indiana. The over/under for the game is 141.5 points.


The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers +3.5

This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall at 4:30 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hoosiers.
  • Not only will Indiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Michigan State Make it Happen on the Road?

Michigan State has been much better at home this season, going 15-6 compared to 3-6 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.4 compared to -3.1 on the road.

Overall, the Spartans are 18-12, including a 10-9 record in Big Ten play. They have been favored in 23 of their 30 games, going 16-7 in those contests.

Michigan State’s ATS record this season is 17-13, and they are 13-10 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Spartans have gone 5-4 ATS this year, and their last three road games vs. the spread have all resulted in wins.

Michigan State’s over/under record for the season sits at 13-17 and today’s line of 141.5 is just below the average over/under line in their games (141.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points compared to their season average of 139.6. In their last 10 games, the over/under record is 3-7.

The Michigan State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 53 points versus Northwestern. During the game, they attempted 17 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 31.7%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tyson Walker who comes into today’s matchup averaging 18. Malik Hall also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.9.

So far, the Spartans’ defense is ranked 31st in the country at 65.9 points per contest. Michigan State’s three-point defense is currently 177th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.1% of their shots vs. Michigan State.

Will the Indiana Defense Show Up at Home?

Indiana enters this game as a 3.5-point underdog, and they have gone 6-10 in their 16 games as the underdog this season. The Hoosiers have gone 12-6 at home this year, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

Indiana has won three straight games, including a 70-58 victory over Minnesota in their last game. For the season, they have gone 17-13, and they have gone 9-10 in Big Ten play.

As the underdog this season, Indiana has a solid ATS mark of 9-7. Their overall ATS record is just below .500 at 15-14-1. At home, the Hoosiers are 9-9 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 home ATS mark is 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Indiana’s games this season (145.6). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

The Hoosiers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 73.1 points per contest. Kel’el Ware was the leading scorer for the Hoosiers, putting up 26 points. In addition, Mackenzie Mgbako contributed 15 points.

So far, the Hoosiers’ defense is ranked 242nd in the country at 74.5 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Minnesota, the Golden Gophers finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 58 points vs. Indiana.