It’ll be a MAC-MAC showdown as the Central Michigan Chippewas (-7) are favorites as they prepare to battle the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the MAC Championship Game. This afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will televise the action.
Miami (OH) vs. Central Michigan Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Central Michigan is giving up 7 points in this MAC game. The RedHawks are currently getting +210 moneyline odds while the Chippewas are -270. This MAC matchup will probably offer some live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 54 points.
The game’s total has swung higher after opening at 53. The original spread has yet to change.
The RedHawks are 7-5 straight up (SU), including 6-2 SU against conference opponents. The Chippewas are 8-4 SU overall and 6-2 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Chippewas are up 6.5 units and the RedHawks have recorded 3.5 units.
These two conference foes did not get a chance to play each other a year ago.
The RedHawks lost to Ball State 41-27 in a contest where their defense allowed the Cardinals to pass for 317 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 261 yards and three scores. Offensively, the RedHawks completed 10-of-19 passes for 168 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Jackson Williamson went four-for-11 for 52 yards and two interceptions while Brett Gabbert completed six-of-eight for 116 yards and one touchdown. Jaylon Bester (59 yards on 15 rushes, one TD) provided the running attack while Jack Sorenson (four receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and James Maye (one catch, 45 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Central Michigan is coming off of a 49-7 win over Toledo. Quinten Dormady completed 15-of-19 passes for 250 yards and two touchdowns. Kobe Lewis (131 yards on 22 rush attempts, two TDs) and Jonathan Ward (88 yards on 13 carries, one TD) mounted the running game while JaCorey Sullivan (five receptions, 83 yards) and Kalil Pimpleton (four catches, 33 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Miami (OH)’s run the ball on 62.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Central Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 53.9 percent. The RedHawks have rushed for 138 yards/game (including 159 per game versus Mid-American opponents) and have 19 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chippewas are putting up 194 rush yards per contest (211 in conference) and have 33 total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Chippewas may hold an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The RedHawks have tallied 3.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.
The RedHawks have tallied 171 yards per game in the air overall (188 per game versus conference opposition) and have 10 passing scores so far. The Chippewas have recorded 259 pass yards per outing (303.9 in the MAC) and have 18 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (OH) should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 180 rush yards and 202 pass yards per game. Central Michigan has allowed 118.8 rushing yards per game and 239.6 to opposing teams in the air. The RedHawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.52 to opponents, while the Chippewas have given up a 6.35 ANY/A.
Dormady likely has the edge over Brett Gabbert in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.15 for the year and 10.19 across his past two outings while Gabbert’s ANY/A is 6.54 and 4.84 over his last two.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Pick
SU Winner – Central Michigan, ATS Winner – Central Michigan, O/U – Over
The Miami (OH) D has sacked opposing QBs 35 times this season. Central Michigan has registered just 24 sacks.
Central Michigan has lost 15 fumbles this season while the Miami (OH) offense has lost seven.
The RedHawks offense has recorded 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chippewas have accounted for seven such plays.
The Miami (OH) defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while Central Michigan has given up seven such plays.
The Miami (OH) offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Central Michigan has created 16 such runs.
The RedHawks defense has allowed 15 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Chippewas have given up 10 such runs.
The O/U for Central Michigan’s last outing going into it was 64.5. The under cashed in the team’s 49-7 win over Toledo.
Over its last three games, Central Michigan is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three contests, Miami (OH) is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Central Michigan has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a -23-point defeat to Buffalo on October 26th representing the lone loss over that span.
The O/U for Miami (OH)’s previous game going into it was 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-27 loss to Ball State.
As a team, Miami (OH) has produced 4.5 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.
Central Michigan has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its past two.