The Marlins (54-47, 23-27 away) travel to take on the Rays (61-42, 36-18 home) in game one of this interleague matchup. Edward Cabrera is getting the start for the Marlins while Tyler Glasnow is starting for the Rays. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays showdown at Tropicana Field.
MIAMI MARLINS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, July 25th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI MARLINS:
- The Marlins will be taking on a Rays club that is just 3-7 vs. the runline in their past ten games.
- Over their last five games as the favorite, the Rays are just 1-4 against the runline.
- Opponents are hitting just .154 against Edward Cabrera in his last five starts.
MIAMI MARLINS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS
Heading into the game, the Marlins are 2nd in the NL East on an overall record of 54-47. The team’s season-long road record is 23-27, which includes losing each of their past three road series. Against the runline, the Marlins are 47-54 and have an over/under mark of 47-51. Their runline record on the road is 25-25 this year.
Edward Cabrera has made 15 appearances this season, recording a .367 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.38 WHIP. His record stands at 5-5 with an ERA of 4.50, along with 90 strikeouts and an average of 11.25 K’s per nine innings. When playing away from home, Cabrera is 0-5 with an ERA of 6.35; however, he is undefeated at home with a 2.75 ERA.
Edward Cabrera recently took the mound for the Marlins in their 5-2 loss to the Cardinals. He pitched five innings, allowing one run on two hits, but was unable to secure a decision.
Over their last ten games, the Marlins are ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 3.5 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.1 per contest puts them 25th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Miami is 11th, with an OBP currently sitting at .322. The team’s collective batting average is .264 (4th).
Luis Arraez has been on fire lately, leading the Marlins in hits over their last five games and batting .417. So far this season, the infielder is hitting an impressive .379 and has driven in 49 runs.
WILL THE TAMPA BAY RAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Rays enter today’s game with an overall record of 61-42 which includes going 33-28 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 2nd in the AL East. Across their 31 series, Tampa Bay is 17-10-4 and have records of 25-24 and 36-18 on the road and at home, respectively.
Tyler Glasnow has made 10 appearances this season, with a .389 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.19 WHIP. His record stands at 3-3 with an ERA of 3.62, and he has racked up 80 strikeouts so far, averaging 13.17 K/9. On the road, Glasnow is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.25; at home, he is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.36.
In Tyler Glasnow’s most recent outing, he tossed seven strong innings, allowing three runs, yet not receiving a decision. Unfortunately for the Rays, they fell to the Orioles 4-3 despite Glasnow’s efforts.
Having gone deep 12 times in their last ten games, the Rays are 9th in that span. At 5.2 runs per game, Tampa Bay is 4th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .256 while hitting a total of 149 home runs (4th).
Over the past five games, Yandy Díaz has been a key contributor to the Rays’ offense, leading the team in hits and batting .233. For the 2023 season, Díaz is hitting a robust .317 and has driven in an impressive 47 runs.