Getting the start for the Marlins (64-62, 27-35 away) will be Jesús Luzardo against Blake Snell for the Padres (60-66, 34-32 home). Today marks game two of their series, with the Padres currently holding the 1-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres matchup.

MIAMI MARLINS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, August 22nd.

WHY BET THE MIAMI MARLINS:

  • Against the runline, the Padres have gone just 4-6 in their last ten home games.
  • In their last ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have put together a runline record of 6-4.
  • The Padres’ are just 12-13 in Blake Snell’s 25 starts.

MIAMI MARLINS STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE

Entering game 127 of their season, the Marlins are 17 games out in the NL East and are in 3rd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 20-19-1. Miami’s road winning percent is currently 43.5% (27-35) compared to 57.8% at home (37-27).

Miami’s Jesús Luzardo has an 8-8 record and 4.13 ERA through the 2023 season. His ERA is higher on the road (5.24) than at home (4.62). Luzardo’s WHIP stands at 1.29, with opposing batters hitting .251 against him and a slugging percentage of .443.

Jesús Luzardo was handed the loss in the Marlins’ 12-5 defeat to the Astros after surrendering six runs on eight hits over 3 2/3 innings.

So far this season, the Marlins’ has gone deep 122 times, placing them 21st in the league. Over Miami’s previous five games, they are 12th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.1 runs per game putting them 25th in the league. The Marlins’ overall team batting average stands at .260 along with an OBP of .316.

Jorge Soler has been one of the Miami Marlins’ most reliable offensive contributors in 2023. The slugger is batting .241 with 67 RBIs and 32 home runs on the season.

WILL THE SAN DIEGO PADRES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Padres enter today’s game with an overall record of 60-66 which includes going 38-45 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 4th in the NL West. Across their 40 series, San Diego is 16-20-4 and have records of 26-34 and 34-32 on the road and at home, respectively.

Heading into today’s matchup, San Diego’s Blake Snell has gone six-plus innings in two consecutive starts. The lefty currently holds a 10-8 record with an ERA of 2.65 and 176 strikeouts. His opponents have mustered up a .306 slugging percentage and .275 WOBA against him, while his WHIP stands at 1.26.

In his most recent start, Blake Snell earned the win in a 5-2 victory over the Orioles. The left-hander tossed six innings of three-hit ball, allowing two runs. His performance was good enough to qualify as a quality start.

The Padres have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 10 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 9th in home runs and 17th in slugging percentage. Overall, San Diego is averaging 4.5 runs per game (14th).

The Padres’ offensive leader, Xander Bogaerts, has a batting average of .265. He boasts a SLG% of .394 and an OBP of .338 heading into the game.