The Marlins (72-68, 32-36 away) travel to take on the Phillies (77-62, 41-26 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. Eury Pérez is getting the start for the Marlins while Cristopher Sánchez is starting for the Phillies. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown at Citizens Bank Park.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 8th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:

  • In their previous five games, the Phillies are 3-2 vs. the runline.
  • Against the runline, the Phillies have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • Eury Pérez has given up three home runs across his last two starts.

MIAMI MARLINS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

Through 140 games, the Marlins have a record of 72-68. This mark includes going 20-22-2 across their 44 series. Currently, Miami is 3rd in the NL East and have a 40-32 record at home while going 32-36 on the road. So far, the Marlins have gone 29-40 against teams with above .500 records.

Eury Pérez is off to a solid start in 2023, boasting an overall record of 5-4 and an ERA of 2.86. On the road, he has gone 2-3 with a 22.94 ERA, while at home he has been impressive with a 3-1 record and 2.02 ERA. His WHIP stands at 1.08 while opponents have managed to hit just .198 against him with a slugging percentage of .403.

Eury Pérez was unable to secure a win in his last outing against the Nationals, surrendering three runs and five hits. However, the Marlins were still able to come away with the 8-5 victory.

For the season, the Marlins’ offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 52 runs. Overall, Miami’s team batting average is .259, putting them 5th in the MLB.

The Marlins are without their home run leader, Jorge Soler, who is currently listed on the injury report. This season, Soler has blasted 35 homers and driven in 71 runs.

WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Philadelphia heads into today’s game ranked 2nd in the NL East on an overall record of 77-62. The Phillies have won three straight series at home and have an overall home record of 41-26. Against the runline, their overall record is 62-77, including going 29-38 vs. the runline at home. When looking at their over/under mark, the Phillies are 62-68.

Across 14 appearances, Cristopher Sánchez has been impressive with a .424 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.04 WHIP. His overall record is 2-3 with an ERA of 3.48, and he has recorded 69 strikeouts so far this season, averaging 8.28 per nine innings. On the road, Sánchez is undefeated at 0-0 with an ERA of 1.12; however, his home record stands at 2-3 with an ERA of 4.55.

Cristopher Sánchez’s most recent outing for the Phillies saw him last 4 2/3 innings, but he was unable to secure a decision as the team fell 10-8 to the Angels. The right-hander allowed five runs on seven hits in the contest.

Having gone deep 22 times in their last ten games, the Phillies are 3rd in that span. At 4.9 runs per game, Philadelphia is 9th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .260 while hitting a total of 184 home runs (10th).

The Phillies’ Bryson Stott is the team’s leader in hits, boasting a .294 batting average. He has a .440 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 entering the game.